Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Prediction 2/15/25 College Basketball Picks

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Ole Miss Rebels meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Black Pavilion. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss prediction.

Mississippi State Recap

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game looking to bounce back from an 81-68 loss at the hands of Florida last time out to fall to 17-7 on the year. After this game, Mississippi State will head home for a game against Texas A&M.

Bulldogs Lose 3 Of Last 4

Josh Hubbard leads the Bulldogs in scoring with 17.6 PPG and 3 APG while Claudell Harris Jr. has 10.4 PPG. KeShawn Murphy has 11 PPG with 7.2 RPG to lead the Bulldogs in rebounding up to this point in the year and to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Mississippi State up to this point in the year. Riley Kugel has 9.7 PPG with 2.7 RPG and RJ Melendez also has 8.7 PPG with 4.2 RPG while Cameron Matthews has 7.5 PPG with 6.9 RPG and a team-high 3.9 APG to lead the Bulldogs in assists. As a team, Mississippi State is averaging 79.9 PPG on 45.6% shooting from the field, 32% from three, and 69.4% from the foul line this season.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

• Ole Miss has lost each of its last nine day games against AP-ranked opponents.
• Mississippi State has won each of its last seven games when playing with a rest advantage.

Ole Miss Recap

The Ole Miss Rebels come into this game looking to add on to their 72-68 win over South Carolina last time out to improve to 19-6 on the year. After this game, Ole Miss will head on the road for a game against the Vanderbilt Commodores.

Rebels Win Three In A Row

Sean Pedulla leads the Rebels in scoring with 15 PPG along with 3.4 RPG 3.8 APG and 2.1 SPG while Jaylen Murray has 11 PPG with a team-high 3.9 APG to lead the Rebels in assists. Matthew Murrell has 11.8 PPG and Dre Davis has 10.5 PPG with 5 RPG. Jaemyn Brakefield has 10.8 PPG with 5 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Ole Miss so far this season. Malik Dia has 9.5 PPG with a team-high 5.7 RPG to share the lead for the Rebels on the glass so far this season. As a team, Ole Miss is averaging 78.3 PPG on 44.7% shooting from the field, 34.9% from three, and 72.5% from the foul line this season.

Why the Ole Miss Rebels will win

• Ole Miss has won nine of its last 10 games at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• Mississippi State has lost each of its last four games against AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Thirteen of Ole Miss’ last 15 day games against Conference opponents at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.
• Nineteen of Mississippi State’s last 22 day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.

Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Prediction

I’m on Mississippi State and the points in this one. I get why Ole Miss would be favored at home in a revenge spot in a rivalry game, but the Bulldogs’ recent struggles have come against some of the better teams in the SEC. Ole Miss just beat South Carolina and LSU, who have a combined conference record of 1-21 (although I do think South Carolina’s better than a 0-11 conference record in all honesty). I think that even if Ole Miss wins, I could see this game coming down to the wire if Mississippi State doesn’t win it outright. Give me Mississippi State and the points.