Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Prediction 2/14/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Ole Miss Rebels meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Pavilion at Ole Miss. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Ole Miss Rebels prediction.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Recap

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game looking to rebound from their 73-64 loss at the hands of Tennessee last time out to sit at 11-13 this season. After this game, Mississippi State will head home for a game against Auburn.

Bulldogs Lose 8 Of Last 9

Josh Hubbard leads Mississippi State in scoring and assists with 22.8 PPG and 3.8 APG along with 2.3 RPG while Jayden Epps has 15.6 PPG as the only other double-digit scorer for Mississippi State up to this point in the year. Ja’Borri McGhee has 9.2 PPG with 2.5 RPG and Quincy Ballard’s also chipped in 6.7 PPG and a team-high 7.5 RPG to lead the Bulldogs on the glass. As a team, Mississippi State is averaging 80.1 PPG on 45% shooting from the field, 31.3% from three and 69.5% from the foul line this season.

Ole Miss Rebels Recap

The Ole Miss Rebels come into this game looking to bounce back from their 93-74 loss at the hands of Alabama last time out to sit at 11-13 this season. After this game, Ole Miss will head on the road for a game against Texas A&M. 

Rebels Lose 6 Straight

Malik Dia leads the Rebels in scoring and rebounding with 15.1 PPG and 7.2 RPG while AJ Storr has 12.3 PPG with 3.1 RPG and 1.9 APG. Ilias Kamardine has 11.1 PPG with 3.4 RPG and a team-high 4.1 APG to lead the Rebels in assists and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Ole Miss up to this point in the year. Patton Pinkins has 8 PPG and Kezza Giffa has 7.5 PPG up to this point in the year. As a team, Ole Miss is averaging 75.2 PPG on 45% shooting from the field, 34.7% from three and 74.1% from the foul line this season.

Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Ole Miss Rebels Betting Trends: February 14, 2026

Why the Ole Miss Rebels will win

• Mississippi State has lost eight of its last nine games.
• Ole Miss has won 30 of its last 34 games at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Mississippi State has lost the first half in five of its last six games.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

• Ole Miss has lost each of its last six games.
• The road team has won four of Mississippi State’s last five games.
• Ole Miss has lost the first half in each of its last nine night games against Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Mississippi State’s last seven Saturday road games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 151+ points.
• Five of Ole Miss’ last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Ole Miss ranks T25th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (9.7).
• Ole Miss ranks 32nd among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (12.5%).
• Mississippi State ranks T357th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (4.5).
• Mississippi State ranks 356th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (64.7).

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Ole Miss Rebels Prediction

I’m on Mississippi State and the points here. I get the case to be made for Ole Miss here, but the thing here is that this was a tight game in the first meeting in a matchup you can argue that Mississippi State should’ve won if it wasn’t for missed free throws. This is a rivalry game of rivalries and I think the points are where it’s at here. Give me Mississippi State and the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Mississippi State +3.5