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Mississippi State vs LSU Prediction 1/28/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

LSU's Mike Nwoko (1) is introduced before the start of the DePaul game at Raider Arena in Niceville, Fla., Nov. 29, 2025. The Tigers won the Emerald Coast Classic championship 96-63. (Tyler Orsburn/News Herald)

LSU's Mike Nwoko (1) is introduced before the start of the DePaul game at Raider Arena in Niceville, Fla., Nov. 29, 2025. The Tigers won the Emerald Coast Classic championship 96-63. (Tyler Orsburn/News Herald)

MATCHUP Mississippi State Bulldogs LSU Tigers
Team Records 10-10 13-7
Spread +6.5 -115 -6.5 -105
Moneyline +250 -310
Total Over 151.5 (-112) Under 151.5 (-108)
Where Pete Maravich Assembly Center, Baton Rouge, LA
When Wednesday, January 28, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV SECN+
In this article we will formulate a Mississippi State vs LSU prediction for this College Basketball game on Wednesday, January 28th at the Pete Maravich Assembly Center in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 10-10 (2-5) this season after they lost to Vanderbilt by a score of 88-56 in their last game. Mississippi State trailed 51-30 at halftime and they only scored 26 points in the second half in the loss. The Bulldogs shot 34% from the field, 19% on three pointers, and 65% on free throws in the game. Jayden Epps led Mississippi State with 14 points and five rebounds, while King Grace added eight points in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Mississippi State lost to Texas A&M by a score of 88-68 and Ole Miss by a score of 68-67. The Bulldogs have scored 77.7 points per game with 40.6 rebounds and 12.4 assists per game, while they have allowed 78.5 points against per game this season. Josh Hubbard is averaging 21.0 points and 3.6 assists per game, while Jayden Epps is averaging 15.2 points and 2.6 rebounds per game for the Bulldogs. Mississippi State is shooting 44.0% from the field, 68.7% on free throws, and 29.8% on three pointers this season. 

LSU Tigers Betting Preview

The LSU Tigers are 13-7 (1-6) this year after they lost to Arkansas by a score of 85-81 in their last game. LSU led 37-33 at halftime, but they allowed 52 points in the second half in the loss. The Tigers shot 46% from the field, 20% on three pointers, and 88% on free throws in the game. Dedan Thomas Jr led LSU with 18 points and five assists, while Mike Nwoko added 14 points and five rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, LSU lost to Florida by a score of 79-61, but did beat Missouri by a score of 78-70 before that. The Tigers have scored 83.2 points per game with 38.1 rebounds and 14.9 assists per game, while they have allowed 73.5 points against per game this season. Dedan Thomas Jr is averaging 15.3 points and 6.7 assists per game, while Max Mackinnon is averaging 14.6 points and 2.7 rebounds per game for the Tigers. LSU is shooting 49.0% from the field, 77.6% on free throws, and 33.6% on three pointers this year. 

Why the LSU Tigers will win

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

Total Points Facts

Mississippi State vs LSU Prediction 

Mississippi State comes into this matchup on a long losing streak and they have allowed at least 88 points in four of their last five games. The Bulldogs are shooting 44% from the field and they have scored 68 or fewer in four of their last five. LSU is just 1-6 in SEC play this year, but they are shooting 49% from the field this season. The Tigers did beat Missouri in their last home game, but they have allowed 75+ in four of their last five. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 151.5

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