Mississippi State vs Kansas State Prediction 11/20/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Kansas State Wildcats meet Thursday in college basketball action from the T-Mobile Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Kansas State Wildcats prediction.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Recap

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game looking to build on their 75-68 win over Southeastern Louisiana last time out to sit at 2-1 this season.

Bulldogs Looking For Consistency

Josh Hubbard leads Mississippi State in scoring and assists with 22.3 PPG and 5.7 APG along with 2.7 RPG while Shawn Jones Jr. has 11.7 PPG with 7 RPG and 2.3 APG as the only other double-digit scorer for Mississippi State up to this point in the year. Ja’Borri McGhee has 9.3 PPG with 3 RPG and Jayden Epps has 7.5 PPG while Achor Achor’s chipped in a team-high 7.7 RPG to lead the Bulldogs on the glass. As a team, Mississippi State is averaging 80.3 PPG on 46.2% shooting from the field, 35.9% from three and 70.5% from the foul line this season.

Kansas State Wildcats Recap

The Kansas State Wildcats come into this game looking to build on an 84-83 win over Tulsa last time out to sit at 4-0 this season.

Wildcats Looking To Stay Unbeaten

P.J. Haggerty leads the Wildcats in scoring and assists with 26 PPG and 5.8 APG while Nate Johnson has 14 PPG with a team-high 7 RPG and 4.8 APG to lead the Wildcats in rebounding so far this season. David Castillo has 13.5 PPG and Khamari McGriff has 13.5 PPG with 4.3 RPG while Abdi Bashir Jr. has 12 PPG with 3 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Kansas State up to this point in the year. As a team, Kansas State is averaging 93.5 PPG on 54.7% shooting from the field, 45.7% from three and 72.9% from the foul line this season.

Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Kansas State Wildcats Betting Trends: November 20, 2025

Why the Kansas State Wildcats will win

• Kansas State has won seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Mississippi State has lost each of its last five night games against the Big 12 Conference.
• Mississippi State has lost the first half in seven of its last eight games against the Big 12 Conference at neutral venues.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

• Mississippi State has won eight of its last nine games when playing with a rest advantage.
• Kansas State has lost three of its last four games at T-Mobile Center.
• Mississippi State has won the first half in six of its last seven night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Kansas State’s last 29 games at T-Mobile Center have produced a total of 152 or fewer points.
• Twenty-five of Mississippi State’s last 26 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Kansas State ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (54.7%).
• Kansas State ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for three-point percentage this season (45.7%).
• Mississippi State ranks 15th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (24.2%).
• Mississippi State ranks T29th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (5.3).

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Kansas State Wildcats Prediction

I’m on Kansas State here. I know K-State hasn’t necessarily had the most comfortable of victories so far this season, but K-State continues to find ways to get the job done and I have my concerns with this Mississippi State team in terms of getting enough points to keep pace here. The Wildcats are just the far better team offensively, and I think K-State gets the win in this one. Give me Kansas State here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Kansas State +2.5