Michigan vs Michigan State Prediction 3/9/25 College Basketball Picks

The Michigan Wolverines and the Michigan State Spartans meet Sunday in college basketball action from the Breslin Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Michigan vs. Michigan State prediction.

Matchup History

The Michigan State Spartans won the first meeting between these two teams on the road by a final score of 75-62 back on February 21st, 2025. The win made it three in a row for the Spartans in this head-to-head rivalry matchup.

Michigan Recap

The Michigan Wolverines come into this game looking to bounce back from a 71-65 loss at the hands of Maryland last time out to slip to 22-8 on the year.

Wolverines Looking To Enter Conference Tournament On High Note

Vladislav Goldin leads the Wolverines in scoring with 16.3 PPG along with 6.7 RPG while Danny Wolf has 12.7 PPG and a team-high 9.6 RPG to lead the Wolverines on the glass, along with 3.7 APG. Tre Donaldson has 11.9 PPG with 3.6 RPG and a team-high 4 APG to lead Michigan in the assist department while Roddy Gayle Jr. has 10 PPG with 3.7 RPG and 2.4 APG while Nimari Burnett has 10 PPG with 3.5 RPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Michigan so far this season. As a team, Michigan is averaging 79.1 PPG on 48.1% shooting from the field, 34.3% from three, and 71.7% from the foul line this season.

Why the Michigan Wolverines will win

• Michigan has won eight of its last nine day games.

Michigan State Recap

The Michigan State Spartans come into this game looking to add on to their 91-84 road win over Iowa last time out to sit at 25-5 on the year.

Spartans Win 6th In A Row

Jaden Akins leads the Spartans in scoring with 13 PPG along with 3.6 RPG while Jase Richardson’s posted 11.3 PPG with 3 RPG as the only other double-digit scorer for Michigan State so far this year. Frankie Fidler has 7.3 PPG and 3.5 RPG and Jaxon Kohler has 8.1 PPG with 7.8 RPG to lead the Spartans on the glass. Coen Carr has 7.8 PPG with 3.3 RPG and Jeremy Fears Jr. has dished out a team-high 5.5 APG as well on the year. As a team, Michigan State is averaging 78.4 PPG on 46.3% shooting from the field, 29.9% from three, and 78.7% from the foul line this season.

Why the Michigan State Spartans will win

• Michigan State has won each of its last 17 games at Jack Breslin Student Events Center when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• Michigan has lost each of its last six games at Jack Breslin Student Events Center.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Michigan State’s last four games against AP-ranked opponents has produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
• Five of Michigan’s last six day games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 150+ points.

Michigan vs. Michigan State Prediction

I’m on Michigan State laying the points at home here. I get that it’s a rivalry matchup, but I think that’s fueling the fire for Michigan State as the Spartans have kept their foot on the gas even though they locked up the Big Ten title and #1 seed in the conference tournament a few games ago. Michigan has a rare offense with two 7-footers in Wolf and Goldin that they like to run the offense through, but the Spartans held that in check in the first meeting and have just been the team in better form here while Michigan looks like they’re backpedaling into the conference tournament. I think the Wolverines get the job done here so give me Michigan State at home laying the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Michigan State -6.5