| MATCHUP | Michigan Wolverines | Arizona Wildcats |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 35-3 | 36-2 |
| Spread | -1.5 -108 | +1.5 -112 |
| Moneyline | -122 | +102 |
| Total | Over 157.5 (-110) | Under 157.5 (-110) |
| Where | Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN | |
| When | Saturday, April 4, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:49 PM EDT | |
| TV | TBS | |
In this article we will formulate a Michigan vs Arizona prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, April 4th at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NCAA Tournament matchup.
Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview
The Michigan Wolverines are 35-3 (19-1) this season after they defeated Tennessee by a score of 95-62 in their last game. Michigan led 48-26 at halftime and they added 47 points in the second half in the easy victory. The Wolverines shot 52% from the field, 37% on three pointers, and 73% on free throws in the game. Yaxel Lendeborg led Michigan with 27 points and seven rebounds, while Morez Johnson Jr added 12 points and five rebounds in the win.
Prior to that game, Michigan defeated Alabama by a score of 90-77 and St. Louis by a score of 95-72. The Wolverines have scored 87.7 points per game with 40.1 rebounds and 18.8 assists per game, while they have allowed 69.6 points against per game this season. Yaxel Lendeborg is averaging 15.2 points and 7.0 rebounds per game, while Morez Johnson Jr is averaging 13.2 points and 7.3 rebounds per game for the Wolverines. Michigan is shooting 50.5% from the field, 74.7% on free throws, and 36.0% on three pointers this season.
Arizona Wildcats Betting Preview
The Arizona Wildcats are 36-2 (16-2) this year after they defeated Purdue by a score of 79-64 in their last game. Arizona trailed 38-31 at halftime, but they outscored Purdue 48-26 in the second half for the win and cover. The Wildcats shot 47% from the field, 33% on three pointers, and 91% on free throws in the game. Koa Peat led Arizona with 20 points and seven rebounds, while Ivan Kharchenkov added 18 points and eight rebounds in the win.
Prior to that game, Arizona defeated Arkansas by a score of 109-88 and Utah State by a score of 78-66. The Wildcats have scored 86.5 points per game with 42.6 rebounds and 16.7 assists per game, while they have allowed 68.8 points against per game this season. Brayden Burries is averaging 16.1 points and 4.9 rebounds per game, while Jaden Bradley is averaging 13.3 points and 4.4 assists per game for the Wildcats. Arizona is shooting 50.2% from the field, 73.4% on free throws, and 36.0% on three pointers this year.
The winner will face UConn or Illinois in the National Championship game.
Why the Arizona Wildcats will win
- Arizona has won each of its last 13 games.
- Michigan has lost each of its last six games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against a top-10 AP-ranked team at neutral venues.
- Arizona has won the first half in each of its last four games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Michigan Wolverines will win
- Michigan has won 28 of its last 30 night games as a top-15 AP-ranked team.
- Arizona has lost the first half in four of its last five night games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Michigan’s last 15 Saturday night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 154 or fewer points.
- Four of Arizona’s last five games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
Arizona Wildcats Player Facts
- Brayden Burries ranks 1st amongst Freshmen for total three-pointers (13) in this season’s NCAA Tournament.
- Motiejus Krivas ranks 1st amongst Juniors for total rebounds (38) in this season’s NCAA Tournament.
Michigan Wolverines Player Facts
- Aday Mara ranks 1st for total blocks (11) in this season’s NCAA Tournament.
- Yaxel Lendeborg ranks 1st amongst Graduates for total points (84) in this season’s NCAA Tournament.
Matchup/League Facts
- Arizona has shot 40.0% or better from three in three games during this season’s NCAA Tournament – equal-most of any team.
- Arizona has recorded 50+ rebounds in two games during this season’s NCAA Tournament – most of any team.
- Michigan has shot 45.0% or better from three in three games during this season’s NCAA Tournament – most of any team.
- Michigan has shot 40.0% or better from three in three games during this season’s NCAA Tournament – equal-most of any team.
Michigan vs Arizona Prediction
Both of these teams come into this matchup after dominating the majority of their schedule and with five combined losses, this should be an elite matchup. Michigan has scored 90+ points in four straight games and they beat Tennessee by 33 points in the Elite Eight. Arizona has allowed 66 points or fewer in three of their last four games, but did allow 88 to Arkansas in the Sweet 16. We should see plenty of scoring in this game, but I think Michigan is the slightly better team and their offense is back to being elite. Take the Wolverines here.