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Michigan State vs Michigan Prediction 2/21/25 College Basketball Picks

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Michigan (20-5) vs Michigan State (21-5)

February 21, 2025 at 08:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Michigan -2.5 — Over/Under: 152.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Michigan State vs Michigan prediction for this College Basketball game on Friday, February 21st at the Crisler Center in Ann Arbor, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview

The Michigan State Spartans are 21-5 (12-3) this year after they defeated Purdue by a score of 75-66 in their last game. Michigan State led 33-31 at halftime and added 42 points in the second half in the win. The Spartans shot 58.3% from the field, 30.8% on three-pointers, and 71.4% on free throws in the game. Jase Richardson led Michigan State with 12 points and three assists, while Frankie Fidler added 11 points and two rebounds in the game.  

Prior to that win, the Spartans defeated Illinois by a score of 79-65 but did lose to Indiana by a score of 71-67 before that. Michigan State has won three of their last four games and they are currently second in the Big Ten standings with a 12-3 record. Michigan State has scored 79.1 points per game and they have allowed 67.4 points per game, while also averaging 39.8 rebounds and 17.7 assists per game this season. Jaden Akins is averaging 13.1 points, 3.6 rebounds, and 1.5 assists per game, while Jase Richardson is averaging 10.4 points, 2.6 rebounds, and 1.8 assists per game this year. Michigan State is shooting 47% from the field, 80.3% on free throws, and 29.1% on three-pointers this season. 

Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview

The Michigan Wolverines are 20-5 (12-2) this season after they defeated Ohio State by a score of 86-83 in their last game. Michigan led 44-39 at halftime and they were able to get the win, despite allowing 44 points in the second half. The Wolverines shot 48.5% from the field, 33.3% on three-pointers, and 76.5% on free throws in the game. Vlad Goldin led Michigan with 20 points and 10 rebounds, while Danny Wolf added 17 points and 11 rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Wolverines defeated Purdue by a score of 75-73 and Indiana by a score of 70-67. Michigan has won six games in a row and they are currently first in the Big Ten standings with a 12-2 record. Michigan has scored 81.6 points per game and they have allowed 71.0 points per game, while also averaging 38.3 rebounds and 16.7 assists per game this season. Vlad Goldin is averaging 15.7 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 1.2 assists per game, while Danny Wolf is averaging 12.9 points, 10.0 rebounds, and 3.6 assists per game this year. Michigan is shooting 49% from the field, 73% on free throws, and 36% on three-pointers this season. 

Why Michigan will Michigan State

  • Michigan has won each of its last eight night games at Crisler Center.
  • Michigan State has lost four of its last five games at Crisler Center.
  • Michigan has won the first half in four of its last five games against the Big Ten Conference.

Why Michigan State will beat Michigan 

  • Michigan State has won 16 of its last 19 games.
  • Michigan has lost six of its last eight night games against AP-ranked opponents at Crisler Center.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of Michigan State’s last eight night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.
  • Four of Michigan’s last five night games against Conference opponents at Crisler Center have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.

Michigan State vs Michigan Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this game at the top of the Big Ten standings, which only adds even more importance to this big rivalry game. Michigan has won six games in a row and they are shooting 49% from the field this year, but their defense has struggled for most of the season. Michigan State has bounced back from a rough two weeks and they are coming off of a big win over Purdue. The Spartans are shooting 47% from the field this season and they have allowed 66 points or fewer in three of their last five games. This should be a great game between two very good teams and I think either side can get the win, but I do think we are going to see plenty of points with the pace that Michigan plays with. Take the over here. 

David Racey's Pick: Over 152.5

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