| MATCHUP | Michigan State Spartans | Kentucky Wildcats |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-0 | 3-1 |
| Spread | +4.5 -102 | -4.5 -118 |
| Moneyline | +195 | -238 |
| Total | Over 153.5 (-108) | Under 153.5 (-112) |
| Where | Madison Square Garden, New York, NY | |
| When | Tuesday, November 18, 2025 | |
| Time | 06:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
In this article we will formulate a Michigan State vs Kentucky prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, November 18th at Madison Square Garden in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.
Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview
The Michigan State Spartans are 3-0 this season after they defeated San Jose State by a score of 79-60 in their last game. Michigan State led 46-23 at halftime, but was outscored 37-33 in the second half in the win. The Spartans shot 48% from the field, 24% on three pointers, and 68% on free throws in the game. Michigan State won the rebounding battle by a total of 45-26, recorded 25 assists, and committed nine turnovers in the win. Jaxon Kohler led MSU with 17 points and 18 rebounds, while Carson Cooper added 17 points and seven rebounds in the game.
Prior to that game, Michigan State defeated Arkansas by a score of 69-66 and Colgate by a score of 80-69. The Spartans have scored 76.0 points per game with 45.7 rebounds and 20.3 assists per game, while they have allowed 65.0 points against per game this season. Jaxon Kohler is averaging 14.3 points and 13.3 rebounds per game, while Carson Cooper is averaging 12.0 points and 5.0 rebounds per game for the Spartans. Michigan State is shooting 43.6% from the field, 67% on free throws, and 21.7% on three pointers this season.
Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview
The Kentucky Wildcats are 3-1 this year after they defeated Eastern Illinois by a score of 99-53 in their last game. Kentucky led 47-19 at halftime and added 52 points in the second half for the blowout win. The Wildcats shot 61% from the field, 36% on three pointers, and 75% on free throws in the game. Kentucky won the rebounding battle by a total of 49-17, recorded 21 assists, and committed 13 turnovers in the win. Mouhamed Dioubate led Kentucky with 20 points and 11 rebounds, while Denzel Aberdeen added 13 points and three rebounds in the game.
Prior to that game, Kentucky lost to Louisville by a score of 96-88, but did beat Valpo by a score of 107-59 before that. The Wildcats have scored 92.8 points per game with 48.0 rebounds and 20.8 assists per game, while they have allowed 64.8 points against per game this season. Denzel Aberdeen is averaging 15.3 points and 4.8 rebounds per game, while Otega Oweh is averaging 13.0 points and 3.8 rebounds per game for the Wildcats. Kentucky is shooting 52.3% from the field, 72.5% on free throws, and 34.2% on three pointers this year.
Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win
- Michigan State has lost each of its last five games against non-Conference opponents at Madison Square Garden.
- Kentucky has won 20 of its last 24 night games against non-Conference opponents.
- Kentucky has won the first half in four of its last five night games against non-Conference opponents.
Why the Michigan State Spartans will win
- Michigan State has won 11 of its last 12 night games.
- Kentucky has lost four of its last five games at Madison Square Garden.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Michigan State’s last nine games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.
- Each of Kentucky’s last four games at Madison Square Garden have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
Michigan State vs Kentucky Prediction
Michigan State comes into this matchup looking to keep their undefeated record and they already have a win over a decent Arkansas team. The Spartans are only shooting 44% from the field this year, but they are great on defense and rebound very well. Kentucky is 3-1 to start the season, with their only loss coming against Louisville. The Wildcats are shooting 52% from the field and they are scoring nearly 93 points per game. I expect MSU to play very tough just like they always do, but Kentucky’s advantage on offense is going to be too much to keep pace with. Take Kentucky to cover.