Merrimack vs Florida Prediction 11/21/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Merrimack Warriors and the Florida Gators meet Friday in college basketball action from the Stephen C O’Connell Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Merrimack Warriors vs. Florida Gators prediction.

Merrimack Warriors Recap

The Merrimack Warriors come into this game looking to add on to a 72-65 win over Maine last time out to sit at 2-3 this season. After this game, Merrimack will head on the road for a game against Penn.

Warriors Win Back-To-Back Games

Ernest Shelton leads the Warriors in scoring with 21 PPG along with 3.4 RPG while Kevair Kennedy has 13.2 PPG with team-highs of 5.6 RPG and 3.4 APG to lead the Warriors in rebounding and assists as the only other double-digit scorer for Merrimack up to this point in the year. Andres Marrero has 9.6 PPG while Tye Dorest had 8.8 PPG and Todd Brogna has 6.2 PPG with 4.4 RPG and 2.4 APG this season. As a team, Merrimack is averaging 69.6 PPG on 38.5% shooting from the field, 32.6% from three and 75.4% from the foul line this season.

Florida Gators Recap

The Florida Gators come into this game looking to build on their 82-68 win over Miami last time out to sit at 3-1 this season. After this game, Florida will head on the road for a neutral site game against TCU.

Gators Win 3 In A Row

Thomas Haugh leads the Gators in scoring with 19 PPG along with 8.5 RPG and 3 APG while Alex Condon has 16.5 PPG with 8.5 RPG and 2.8 APG this season. Boogie Fland has 11.3 PPG with 3.3 RPG and 2.3 APG along with 2 SPG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Florida up to this point in the year while Xaivian Lee has 9.5 PPG with 5.5 RPG and 5 APG to lead the Gators in assists and Rueben Chinyelu has 9.5 PPG with 9 RPG to lead Florida in rebounding. Micah Handlogten has 7.5 PPG with 8.8 RPG as well up to this point in the year. As a team, Florida is averaging 87.8 PPG on 44.2% shooting from the field, 23.7% from three and 66.4% from the foul line this season.

Merrimack Warriors @ Florida Gators Betting Trends: November 21, 2025

Why the Florida Gators will win

• Florida has won each of its last 16 night games against non-Conference opponents.
• Merrimack has lost each of its last 13 road night games against non-Conference opponents.
• Florida has won the first half in 10 of its last 11 games against non-Conference opponents at Exactech Arena at Stephen C. O’Connell Center.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Merrimack’s last 24 night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.
• Twenty-nine of Florida’s last 35 night games against non-Conference opponents at Exactech Arena at Stephen C. O’Connell Center have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Florida ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (52.0).
• Florida ranks 362nd among Division 1 teams for three-point percentage this season (23.5%).
• Merrimack ranks 360th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (42.8%).
• Merrimack ranks T358th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (29.6).

Merrimack Warriors vs. Florida Gators Prediction

I’m leaning towards Merrimack and the points here. I think Florida wins and does so handily. However, this is a huge number for Florida with a lookahead spot to their MTE cross-country next week, and we’ve already seen Florida let North Florida sneak in the backdoor laying a massive number last week. Merrimack plays a weird defense that can keep them in this game at least for a small part of it and I think Merrimack does enough to sneak in the backdoor and get the cover. Give me Merrimack and the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Merrimack +35.5