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Mercer vs The Citadel Prediction 2/19/25 College Basketball Picks

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The Citadel (5-20) vs Mercer (11-16)

February 19, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: The Citadel +7.5 — Over/Under: 148.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Mercer Bears and The Citadel Bulldogs meet Wednesday in college basketball action at the McAlister Field House. Here’s a Mercer vs The Citadel Prediction. This article will include a Mercer vs The Citadel Pick.

Mercer Bears Betting Preview 

The Mercer Bears lost to Furman and VMI, and they play UNC Greensboro, East Tennessee State, and Western Carolina next. The Mercer Bears are averaging 78.6 points on 44.6 percent shooting and allowing 77.2 points on 42.7 percent shooting. Ahmad Robinson is averaging 16.6 points and 4.5 rebounds, while Tyler Johnson is averaging 16.2 points and 3.5 rebounds. Alex Holt is the third double-digit scorer and Angel Montas Jr. is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Mercer Bears are shooting 32.4 percent from beyond the arc and 64.7 percent from the free throw line. The Mercer Bears are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.7 rebounds per game.

The Citadel Bulldogs Betting Preview 

The Citadel Bulldogs lost to Wofford and Western Carolina, and they play Chattanooga, Furman, and East Tennessee State next. The Citadel Bulldogs are averaging 68 points on 42.8 percent shooting and allowing 75 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Brody Fox is averaging 16.4 points and 4.8 rebounds, while Keynan Davis is averaging 9.2 points and 3.2 rebounds. Sola Adebisi is dishing 1.3 assists and Cameron Glover is grabbing 1.8 rebounds. The Citadel Bulldogs are shooting 30.4 percent from beyond the arc and 60.9 percent from the free throw line. The Citadel Bulldogs are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.8 rebounds per game.

Why The Citadel Bulldogs will win

  • Mercer has lost each of its last five games against the Southern Conference.

Why the Mercer Bears will win

  • The Citadel has lost each of its last 17 games against the Southern Conference.
  • Mercer has won each of its last three games against The Citadel.
  • Mercer has won the first half in 12 of its last 13 games against The Citadel.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of The Citadel’s last eight night games against the Southern Conference have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
  • Each of Mercer’s last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents at McAlister Field House have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Mercer ranks 355th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (9.6).
  • Mercer ranks 15th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (72.6).

Mercer vs The Citadel Injury Report

Neither Mercer nor The Citadel have a player listed on its injury report.

Mercer vs The Citadel Prediction

The Citadel looks like a team that’s given up on the season, as it hasn’t won a game since December 3, and it hasn’t beaten a Division One team since November 11. The Citadel is also 8-13 ATS on the season, so there’s literally zero betting value with the Bulldogs. Mercer isn’t lighting the world on fire either, but it’s found ways to win games here and there, and that includes an 80-46 win over The Citadel a few weeks ago. This line has everything to do with how bad The Citadel is, not anything to do with Mercer. Give me Mercer and the chalk.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Mercer -7.5

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