Maryland vs Iowa Prediction 3/11/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Mar 5, 2026; Iowa City, Iowa, USA; Iowa Hawkeyes guard Bennett Stirtz (14) controls the ball as Michigan Wolverines guard Trey McKenney (1) defends during the second half at Carver-Hawkeye Arena. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Maryland Terrapins
Iowa Hawkeyes
Team Records
12-21
21-11
Where
United Center, Chicago, IL
When
Wednesday, March 11, 2026
Time
12:00 PM EDT
TV
Peacock
The Maryland Terrapins and the Iowa Hawkeyes meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the United Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Maryland Terrapins vs. Iowa Hawkeyes prediction.
Maryland Terrapins Recap
The Maryland Terrapins come into this game looking to add on to their 70-60 win over Oregon last time out.
Terrapins Looking For Another Upset
Pharrel Payne leads the Terps in scoring with 17.5 PPG along with 7.2 RPG while David Colt has 13.6 PPG with 1.9 RPG and a team-high 2.8 APG to lead Maryland in assists up to this point in the year. Darius Adams has added 10.7 PPG with 3.4 RPG while Solomon Washington’s chipped in 10.1 PPG with 9 RPG to lead Maryland in rebounding. Andre Mills has 12.3 PPG with 4.2 RPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Maryland up to this point in the year while Elijah Saunders has 9.2 PPG with 4.4 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Maryland is averaging 69.9 PPG on 40.6% shooting from the field, 31.7% from three and 72.5% from the foul line this season.
Iowa Hawkeyes Recap
The Iowa Hawkeyes come into the tournament as the 9-seed after finishing 20-11 overall including a 10-10 record in Big Ten play.
Hawkeyes Looking To Exact Revenge Against Terps
Bennett Stirtz leads Iowa in scoring and assists with 20.2 PPG and 4.4 APG along with 2.5 RPG and Tavion Banks has 10.5 PPG with 4.8 RPG as the only other double-digit scorer for Iowa so far this season. Alvaro Folgueiras has 8.3 PPG with 2.4 APG and Cam Manyawu has 6.9 PPG with 4.6 RPG to lead the Hawkeyes in rebounding so far this season. As a team, Iowa is averaging 75.4 PPG on 49% shooting from the field, 35.3% from three and 77.5% from the foul line this season.
Maryland Terrapins @ Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Trends: March 11, 2026
Why the Iowa Hawkeyes will win
Iowa has won each of its last nine games after coming off overtime.
Maryland has lost 10 of its last 12 Conference Tournament day games.
Iowa has won the first half in each of its last 10 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Maryland Terrapins will win
Maryland has won each of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Iowa has lost each of its last four day games.
Maryland has won the first half in each of its last three games at United Center.
Total Points Facts
Each of the last 10 games between Maryland and Iowa have produced a total of 136+ points.
Each of Maryland’s last five games at United Center have produced a total of 130 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
Iowa ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (49.3).
Iowa ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (62.6).
Maryland ranks 356th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (10.5).
Maryland Terrapins vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Prediction
I’m on the under here. I think that the early start time is really going to mess with the Terrapins on less than 24 hours with the slow pace and defensive pressure that Iowa can bring, but with that slow pace comes a lack of scoring sometimes for the Hawkeyes and I think this one is coming in under the number.
