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Marist vs Siena Prediction 2/14/25 College Basketball Picks

Siena (11-13) vs Marist (16-5)

February 14, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Siena -2.5 — Over/Under: 129.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Marist Red Foxes and the Siena Saints meet Friday in college basketball action from the MVP Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Marist vs. Siena prediction.

Marist Recap

The Marist Red Foxes come into this game looking to bounce back from a 75-71 loss to Iona last time out to fall to 16-5 on the year. After this game, Marist will head on the road for a game against Merrimack.

Red Foxes Drop Back-To-Back Games

Josh Pascarelli leads the Red Foxes in scoring with 16.1 PPG along with 3.9 RPG and 2.4 APG while Elijah Lewis has 11.8 PPG with 4.5 RPG to cap off the pair of double-digit scorers for Marist so far this season. Jackson Price has 9.9 PPG with 4.5 RPG while Jadin Collins-Roberts also has 8.3 PPG with 4.9 RPG and a team-high 3.9 APG to lead the Red Foxes in assists and Jaden Daughtry has 6 RPG to lead the Red Foxes in rebounding up to this point in the year. As a team, Marist is averaging 68.1 PPG on 45.9% shooting from the field, 33.5% from three, and 68.3% from the foul line so far this season.

Why the Marist Red Foxes will win

  • Marist has won six of its last seven road games.
  • Siena has lost 10 of its last 11 Friday games against the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference.

Siena Recap

The Siena Saints come into this game looking to bounce back from a 61-59 loss to Rider last time out to sit at 11-13 on the year. After this game, Siena will head on the road for a game against Sacred Heart.

Saints Looking To Rebound

Justice Shoats leads Siena in scoring and assists with 15.4 PPG and 4.1 APG along with 2.8 RPG while Major Freeman has 14 PPG with 4 RPG and 2 APG as well. Brendan Coyle has 12.5 PPG with 4.5 RPG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Siena up to this point in the year. Gavin Doty has 9 PPG along with a team-high 5.3 RPG to lead the Saints on the glass as well this season. As a team, Siena is averaging 70.7 PPG on 43% shooting from the field, 33.5% from three, and 72.4% from the foul line this season.

Why the Siena Saints will win

  • The home team has won each of Siena’s last nine games.
  • Marist has lost 11 of its last 13 games at MVP Arena.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Siena’s last seven home games has produced a total of 140+ points.
  • Each of Marist’s last four night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at MVP Arena has produced a total of 128 or fewer points.

Marist vs. Siena Prediction

I’m on the over here. I get that normally the MAAC is viewed as more of a defensive-minded conference. However, Siena has been really logging points in bunches at home this season, scoring 77, 84, 82, and 93 in their last four games at home and while Marist had some issues on the road, they’ve still scored 70+ points in three of their last four games. A total below 130 makes sense but still feels light given the form that Siena’s in at home and the fact that Marist is also respectable on the offensive end of the floor. I’ll roll with the over in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 129.5

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