| MATCHUP | Marist Red Foxes | Merrimack Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 16-8 | 16-9 |
| Spread | +2.5 -110 | -2.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +120 | -142 |
| Total | Over 129.5 (-108) | Under 129.5 (-112) |
| Where | Hammel Court, North Andover, MA | |
| When | Thursday, February 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
In this article, we will formulate a Marist vs Merrimack Prediction for this college basketball game on Thursday, February 12th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
Merrimack Warriors Preview
The Merrimack Warriors have a 16-9 overall record this season and a 12-2 record in the MAAC. They are coming off a 73-47 road win against Rider and their previous four games were an 87-70 road win against Mount Saint Mary’s, a 75-58 home win against Sacred Heart, a 67-59 home win against Saint Peter’s and a 61-60 road loss against Iona.
Offensively, Merrimack averages 68.4 points per game, while allowing 67.8 points per game defensively. The Warriors shoot with 42% from the field and grab 28.9 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12.2 assists per game. They average 4.7 blocks per game and 7.9 steals per game defensively.
Kevair Kennedy leads Merrimack in scoring and assists, with an average of 17.3 points per game and 4 assists per game, while shooting with 46.6% from the field and 80.4% from the free throw line. KC Ugwuakazi is the team’s leading rebounder with 4.7 per game.
Marist Red Foxes Preview
The Marist Red Foxes have a 16-8 overall record this season and a 10-5 record in the MAAC. They are coming off a 63-60 road loss against Fairfield and their previous four games were an 81-52 home win against Rider, a 58-46 road loss against Niagara, an 88-86 OT road win against Canisius and a 71-64 home win against Quinnipiac.
Offensively, Marist averages 70.9 points per game, while allowing 62.6 points per game defensively. The Red Foxes shoot with 46% from the field and grab 35.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.5 assists per game. They average 2.8 blocks per game and 7.1 steals per game defensively.
Rhyjon Blackwell is the team’s leading scorer with an average of 12.6 points per game, while shooting with 42.3% from the field and 95.3% from the free throw line. Jaden Daughtry is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.4 per game. Justin Menard leads the team in assists made with 3.6 per game.
Marist Red Foxes @ Merrimack Warriors Betting Trends: February 12, 2026
Why the Merrimack Warriors will win
- Merrimack has won each of its last nine games at Lawler Arena.
- Merrimack has won the first half in each of its last 10 games at Lawler Arena.
Why the Marist Red Foxes will win
- Marist has won four of its last five games.
- Marist has won the first half in five of its last six games.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of Merrimack’s last 10 games at Lawler Arena have produced a total of 133+ points.
- Twelve of Marist’s last 14 road games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 129 or fewer points.
Marist vs Merrimack Prediction
In this Marist vs Merrimack Prediction, Merrimack is coming as -3.5 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records and exactly 16 wins each, but Merrimack has been undefeated at home. Both teams are coming into this matchup in excellent form, as they are 8-2 and 7-3 in their last 10 games respectively, so I see no value on either side. They both have been playing some lower-scoring games lately, going for 11-2 to the under in their last 13 games combined, as both play excellent defense this season, with Marist having the 15th-best defense in the entire nation. Take the under 129.5 points in this one.

