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Loyola Marymount vs St. Mary’s Prediction 2025/01/07 College Basketball Picks

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St. Mary's (13-3) vs Loyola Marymount (9-7)

January 7, 2025 at 11:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: St. Mary's -14.5 — Over/Under: 135

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The Loyola Marymount Lions are visiting the Saint Mary’s Gaels on Tuesday, January 7th at the University Credit Union Pavilion. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Loyola Marymount Lions vs Saint Mary’s Gaels Prediction. We will examine:

The Saint Mary’s Gaels’ recent form and player performance

The Loyola Marymount Lions’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Saint Mary’s Gaels

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Loyola Marymount Lions

Recent betting trends in games played between Loyola Marymount Lions and Saint Mary’s Gaels

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Loyola Marymount Lions vs Saint Mary’s Gaels game

Saint Mary’s Gaels Preview

The Saint Mary’s Gaels have a 13-3 record this season and are sitting in second place in the West Coast. They are coming off an 81-58 win over Portland. The Gaels are 5-10 against the spread, and 7-7-1 in over/under while having a 9-1 home record.

Offensively, Saint Mary’s is averaging 75.1 points per game, which ranks 195th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 62.4 points per game (17th). The Gaels shoot 44.6% from the field (213th) and 31.8% from beyond the arc (275th). The Gaels shoot 67.2% from the free-throw line (298th) and are grabbing 41.8 rebounds per game, which is the 10th-best in the nation.

Augustas Marciulionis leads Saint Mary’s in scoring this season, with 14 points and a team-high 5.9 assists, while Paulius Murauskas adds 12.8 points and a team-high 8.8 rebounds.

Loyola Marymount Lions Preview

The Loyola Marymount Lions have a 9-7 record this season and are sitting in 8th place of the West Coast. They are coming off a 68-96 loss to Gonzaga. The Lions are 6-9 against the spread, and 6-9 in over/under while having a 0-4 road record.

Offensively, Loyola Marymount is averaging 71.3 points per game, which ranks 275th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 70.7 points per game (167th). The Lions shoot 43.2% from the field (274th) and 33.1% from beyond the arc (221st). The Lions shoot 69.5% from the free-throw line (245th) and are grabbing 35.6 rebounds per game (223rd).

Caleb Stone-Carrawell leads Loyola Marymount in scoring with an average of 13.4 points, while Jevon Porter adds 14.1 points and a team-high 8 rebounds.

Why the Saint Mary’s Gaels will win

  • Saint Mary’s has won each of its last 17 night games at University Credit Union Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Loyola Marymount has lost each of its last 10 games at University Credit Union Pavilion.
  • Saint Mary’s has won the first half in each of its last 17 night games at University Credit Union Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Loyola Marymount Lions will win

  • Loyola Marymount has won six of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Saint Mary’s ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (41.8).
  • Saint Mary’s ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (57.2%).
  • Loyola Marymount ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (1.7).
  • Loyola Marymount ranks 36th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.4).

Loyola Marymount Lions vs Saint Mary’s Gaels Prediction

Saint Mary’s is 9-1 in their last 10 meetings against Loyola Marymount, but Loyola Marymount is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 meetings. Over is 6-0 in their last 6 meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, Saint Mary’s won 70-65 at home, not covering the spread, as the game went over the total. In this Loyola Marymount Lions vs Saint Mary’s Gaels Prediction, Saint Mary’s is coming as a -14.5 home favorites. Saint Mary’s is better both offensively, scoring 3.8 points more than Loyola Marymount, and defensively, allowing 8.3 points less. The Gaels are winning by an average of 12.7 points this season, while the Lions are winning by an average of 0.6 points. The Gaels have been terrific this season and have covered the spread in back-to-back games, while the Lions are winless on the road and have failed to cover in their last three road games. Take the Saint Mary’s Gaels and lay the points at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Saint Mary's Gaels -14.5

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