| MATCHUP | Louisville Cardinals | Baylor Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 18-6 | 13-11 |
| Spread | -6.5 -110 | +6.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | -305 | +245 |
| Total | Over 163.5 (-110) | Under 163.5 (-110) |
| Where | Dickies Arena, Fort Worth, TX | |
| When | Saturday, February 14, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
Baylor Bears Preview
The Baylor Bears have a 13-11 overall record this season. They are coming off a 99-94 home loss against BYU and their previous four games were a 72-69 road loss against Iowa State, an 86-67 home win against Colorado, a 63-53 road win against West Virginia and a 67-57 road loss against Cincinnati.
Offensively, Baylor averages 83.9 points per game, while allowing 75.9 points per game defensively. The Bears shoot with 48% from the field and grab 38.2 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16 assists per game. They average 4.6 blocks per game and 6.5 steals per game defensively.
Cameron Carr leads the Bears in scoring with an average of 19.8 points per game, while shooting with 52.5% from the field and 77.3% from the free throw line. Caden Powell is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.7 per game. Obi Agbim leads the team in assists made with an average of 3.3 per game.
Louisville Cardinals Preview
The Louisville Cardinals have an 18-6 overall record this season. They are coming off a 118-77 home win against North Carolina State and their previous four games were an 88-80 road win against Wake Forest, a 76-65 home win against Notre Dame, an 88-74 home win against SMU and an 83-52 road loss against Duke.
Offensively, Louisville averages 87.1 points per game, while allowing 70.9 points per game defensively. The Cardinals shoot with 47% from the field and grab 40.3 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.9 assists per game. They average 3.3 blocks per game and 7 steals per game defensively.
Ryan Conwell leads the Cardinals in scoring with an average of 18.9 points per game, while shooting with 41% from the field and 83.5% from the free throw line. Sananda Fru is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.5 per game. Aly Khalifa leads the team in assists made with an average of 2.7 per game.
Louisville Cardinals @ Baylor Bears Betting Trends: February 14, 2026
Why the Baylor Bears will win
- Baylor has won 39 of its last 46 day games against non-Conference opponents.
- Louisville has lost five of its last six day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
- Louisville has lost the first half in each of its last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Why the Louisville Cardinals will win
- Baylor has lost each of its last 12 games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Louisville has won each of its last 11 Saturday games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
- Louisville has won the first half in each of its last nine February games as an AP-ranked team.
Total Points Facts
- Twelve of Baylor’s last 13 day games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 158 or fewer points.
- Forty of Louisville’s last 44 games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 162 or fewer points.
Louisville vs Baylor Prediction
In this Louisville vs Baylor Prediction, Louisville is coming as -5.5 road favorites. Louisville has been the better team this season and have been in good form lately, with a 6-1 record in their last 7 games but are just 3-7 against the spread in their last 10. Baylor on the other hand, has been struggling with a 2-6 record in its last 8 games and 3-5 against the spread, while being inferior both on the offensive and the defensive end. Louisville has a dominating +16.2 point differential this season and I expect them to take care of business on the road and cover the spread.