Little Rock vs Lindenwood Prediction 3/4/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Nov 20, 2025; Bloomington, Indiana, USA; Lindenwood Lions guard Anias Futrell (8) shoots the ball against Indiana Hoosiers forward Nick Dorn (7) during the second half at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall. Mandatory Credit: Robert Goddin-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Little Rock Trojans
Lindenwood Lions
Team Records
12-19
Spread
+2.5 -110
-2.5 -110
Moneyline
+120
-142
Total
Over 148.5 (-112)
Under 148.5 (-108)
Where
Orleans Arena, Las Vegas, NV
When
Wednesday, March 4, 2026
Time
09:30 PM EST
TV
ESPN+
The Little Rock Trojans and the Lindenwood Lions meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the Ford Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Little Rock Trojans vs. Lindenwood Lions prediction.
Little Rock Trojans Recap
The Little Rock Trojans come into this game as the 7-seed, finishing the year with a 12-19 overall record including a 9-11 in conference play.
Trojans Looking To Begin Climb
Johnathan Lawson leads the Trojans in scoring and assists with 16.2 PPG and 4 APG along with 4 RPG while Cameron Wallace has 12.6 PPG with a team-high 6.9 RPG to lead the Trojans in rebounding. Kachi Nzeh has 11.6 PPG with 4.6 RPG and Braxton Bayless has 10.5 PPG with 4 RPG and 3.4 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Little Rock so far this season. Tuongthach Gatkek also has 9.4 PPG with 5.8 RPG as well this season. As a team, Little Rock is averaging 70.8 PPG on 44.9% shooting from the field, 36.1% from three and 68% from the foul line this season.
Lindenwood Lions Recap
The Lindenwood Lions come into this game as the 6-seed, finishing the year at 17-14 overall including an 11-9 mark in OVC conference play.
Lions Looking To Make Noise In First Year Of NCAA Tournament Eligibility
Anias Futrell leads the Lions in scoring with 17.9 PPG with 6 RPG while Dontrez Williams has 15.3 PPG with 4.7 RPG and Jadis Jones has 15.3 PPG with a team-high 8.5 RPG and 2.7 APG to lead the Lions on the glass. Milos Nenadic has 11.7 PPG with 5.8 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Lindenwood up to this point in the year. Clayton Jackson also has 7.1 PPG with 2.8 RPG and 2.7 APG while Mekhi Cooper has 6.6 PPG and a team-high 4.1 APG to lead Lindenwood in assists so far this season. As a team, Lindenwood is averaging 78.3 PPG on 46.1% shooting from the field, 31.4% from three and 68.3% from the foul line this season.
Little Rock Trojans @ Lindenwood Lions Betting Trends: March 4, 2026
Why the Lindenwood Lions will win
Little Rock has lost four of its last five games played at neutral venues.
Lindenwood (MO) has won three of its last four games played at neutral venues.
Little Rock has lost the first half in 10 of its last 12 night games against Conference opponents.
Why the Little Rock Trojans will win
Lindenwood (MO) has lost four of its last five games.
Lindenwood (MO) has lost the first half in seven of its last eight games played at neutral venues.
Total Points Facts
Eleven of Little Rock’s last 12 night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.
Four of the last five games between Little Rock and Lindenwood (MO) have produced a total of 153+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
Lindenwood (MO) ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (67.6%).
Lindenwood (MO) ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (73.5).
Little Rock ranks T5th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.3).
Little Rock ranks T46th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (4.4).
Little Rock Trojans vs. Lindenwood Lions Prediction
I’m on Lindenwood here. I think the Lions are going to be motivated in their first year of being eligible to get a crack at the NCAA tournament. Little Rock was hit and miss for much of the year, and I’m not sure I trust the Trojans to be able to keep up in this matchup offensively. Give me Lindenwood to get the win and cover in this one.
