Liberty vs Western Kentucky Prediction 1/21/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Dec 6, 2025; Raleigh, North Carolina, USA;
Liberty Flames guard Brett Decker Jr. (4) shoots a free throw during the second half of the game against the NC State Wolfpack at Lenovo Center. Mandatory Credit: Jaylynn Nash-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Liberty Flames
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Team Records
15-3
11-7
Spread
-1.5 -105
+1.5 -115
Moneyline
-122
+102
Total
Over 148.5 (-110)
Under 148.5 (-110)
Where
E.A. Diddle Arena, Bowling Green, KY
When
Wednesday, January 21, 2026
Time
07:30 PM EST
TV
ESPN+
The Liberty Flames and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the E.A. Diddle Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Liberty Flames vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers prediction.
Liberty Flames Recap
The Liberty Flames come into this game looking to add on to their 80-69 win over UTEP last time out to sit at 15-3 this season. After this game, Liberty will head home for a game against Delaware.
Flames’ Win Streak Hits 9
Brett Decker Jr. leads the Flames in scoring with 17.8 PPG along with 2.9 RPG while Kaden Metheny has 13.1 PPG with 2.8 RPG and 2.9 APG as well this season. Colin Porter has 11.4 PPG with 2.8 RPG and 3.4 APG while JJ Harper has 10.4 PPG with 2.8 RPG. Zach Cleveland has 11.6 PPG along with team-highs of 8.3 RPG and 7.3 APG to lead the Flames in rebounding and assists to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Liberty so far this season. As a team, Liberty is averaging 80.3 PPG on 52.6% shooting from the field, 39.9% from three and 69.8% from the foul line this season.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Recap
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers come into this game looking to bounce back from their 81-65 loss at the hands of Kennesaw State last time out to sit at 11-7 this season. After this game, Western Kentucky will head on the road for a game against Sam Houston.
Hilltoppers Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped
Teagan Moore leads the Hilltoppers across the board with 18.2 PPG, 6.1 RPG and 2.8 APG while Armelo Boone has 12.2 PPG and 5.9 RPG. Grant Newell has 11.6 PPG with 4.1 RPG and Ryan Myers has 10.2 PPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Western Kentucky up to this point in the year. As a team, Western Kentucky is averaging 83.1 PPG on 41.8% shooting from the field, 33.9% from three and 74.3% from the foul line this season.
Liberty Flames @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Betting Trends: January 21, 2026
Why the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers will win
Western Kentucky has won six of its last seven night games at E. A. Diddle Arena.
Western Kentucky has won the first half in each of its last seven night games at E. A. Diddle Arena.
Why the Liberty Flames will win
Liberty has won each of its last 13 night games against Conference opponents.
Western Kentucky has lost three of its last four night games.
Liberty has won the first half in each of its last seven night games against Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
Each of Western Kentucky’s last five night games at E. A. Diddle Arena have produced a total of 152+ points.
Twenty of Liberty’s last 23 night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
Western Kentucky ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (5.2).
Western Kentucky ranks T11th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (19.7).
Liberty ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (52.6%).
Liberty ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (61.9%).
Liberty Flames vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction
I’m on the Flames here on the road. I just think that Liberty is the class of the Conference USA, and I would need a couple of more points if I were going to consider backing WKU here, even at home. I just feel like Liberty pulls away in the second half to snag the win and cover so give me the Flames here.
