Liberty vs Oregon Prediction 3/21/25 College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Liberty vs Oregon prediction for this College Basketball game on Friday, March 21 at the Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this game in the 1st Round of the NCAA Tournament. The winner of this game will meet Arizona or Akron in the 2nd Round.

Liberty Flames Betting Preview

The Liberty Flames (28-6, 20-10-1 ATS) finished the regular season on a high note, winning eight of the final nine games to clinch the No. 1 seed for the CUSA tournament. The lone loss during this positive stretch was to Kennesaw State, the team who nearly beat the Flames once again in the conference tourney. Liberty beat UTEP in the quarterfinals but had problems with Kennesaw State in the semis. However, Liberty managed to squeeze through to the finals where Jacksonville State proved to be not good enough to stop the Flames from winning the title.

Liberty is averaging 76.6 PPG (110th) and is allowing 62.9 PPG (9th). The Flames are getting 33.0 RPG (346th) and dish out 16.9 APG (26th). Taelon Peter is the team’s top performer with 13.9 PPG and 4.1 RPG. Kaden Metheny has 13.5 PPG, 2.9 RPG, and 2.0 APG, while Zach Cleveland contributes 11.0 PPG, a team-high 6.3 RPG, a team-high 5.1 APG, and 1.0 BPG.

Oregon Ducks Betting Preview

The Oregon Ducks (24-9, 15-17-1 ATS) went through their roughest period of the season in late January and early February when they suffered five consecutive defeats, their longest losing run of the season. The Ducks responded magnificently with seven straight victories to close out the regular season. These wins secured Oregon the No. 8 seed for the Big Ten tournament where the Ducks defeated Indiana in the second round but could not do much against Michigan State in the quarterfinals.

Oregon averages 76.2 PPG (116th) and allows 70.9 PPG (146th). The Ducks are 190th in rebounds (35.5) and 128th in assists (14.6). Nate Bittle leads the team with 14.1 PPG, a team-high 7.4 RPG, and a team-high 2.2 BPG. Jackson Shelstad follows him with 13.2 PPG, 2.9 RPG, 2.7 APG, and 1.0 SPG, while TJ Bamba chips in 10.4 PPG, 3.5 RPG, a team-high 2.9 APG, and a team-high 1.7 SPG.

Why Oregon will beat Liberty

• Oregon has won each of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Oregon’s last four night games at a neutral venue has produced a total of 143+ points.
• Four of Liberty’s last five night games have produced a total of 141+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Liberty ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (58.0%).
• Liberty ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (0.75).

Liberty vs Oregon Prediction

It’s going to be the first-ever meeting between these teams. Liberty should be lucky to be among the big guys and its NCAA tournament journey will probably end here. The Flames barely beat Kennesaw State in the conference tourney, while Oregon played against some serious teams and is coming from a way stronger conference. I don’t care about Liberty’s excellent ATS record; it’s easy to cover spreads against such teams as Western Kentucky and UTEP, with all due respect, but this is something else. Oregon is a better squad and I am pretty sure the Ducks will prove that on Friday with a comfortable win.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Oregon -6.5