| MATCHUP | Liberty Flames | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 17-3 | 11-8 |
| Spread | -1.5 -118 | +1.5 -102 |
| Moneyline | -135 | +114 |
| Total | Over 136.5 (-110) | Under 136.5 (-110) |
| Where | Murphy Center, Murfreesboro, TN | |
| When | Thursday, January 29, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | CBSSN | |
In this article we will formulate a Liberty vs Middle Tennessee prediction for this College Basketball game on Thursday, January 29th at the Murphy Center in Murfreesboro, Tennessee. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.
Liberty Flames Betting Preview
The Liberty Flames are 17-3 (9-0) this season after they defeated Delaware by a score of 67-51 in their last game. Liberty led 34-28 at halftime and they held Delaware to just 23 points in the second half in the win. The Flames shot 47% from the field, 37% on three pointers, and 62% on free throws in the game. Brett Decker Jr led Liberty with 25 points and four rebounds, while JJ Harper added 10 points and three rebounds in the win.
Prior to that game, Liberty defeated WKU by a score of 76-69 and UTEP by a score of 80-69. The Flames have scored 79.4 points per game with 30.7 rebounds and 17.6 assists per game, while they have allowed 67.2 points against per game this season. Brett Decker Jr is averaging 18.0 points and 2.9 rebounds per game, while Kaden Metheny is averaging 13.2 points and 3.2 assists per game for the Flames. Liberty is shooting 52.1% from the field, 69.5% on free throws, and 40.8% on three pointers this season.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Betting Preview
The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are 11-8 (5-3) this year after they lost to Jacksonville State by a score of 75-58 in their last game. Middle Tennessee trailed 39-34 at halftime and they scored just 24 points in the second half in the loss. The Blue Raiders shot 38% from the field, 35% on three pointers, and 57% on free throws in the game. Kamari Lands led MTSU with 15 points and three rebounds, while Jahvin Carter added 13 points and six assists in the loss.
Prior to that game, Middle Tennessee defeated Missouri State by a score of 90-87, but lost to Louisiana Tech by a score of 59-58 before that. The Blue Raiders have scored 74.7 points per game with 36.8 rebounds and 14.3 assists per game, while they have allowed 70.1 points against per game this season. Kamari Lands is averaging 13.2 points and 4.0 rebounds per game, while Torey Alston is averaging 11.8 points and 7.5 rebounds per game for the Blue Raiders. Middle Tennessee is shooting 44.2% from the field, 68.7% on free throws, and 35.6% on three pointers this year.
Why the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will win
- Middle Tennessee has won eight of its last nine games at Charles M. Murphy Athletic Center.
Why the Liberty Flames will win
- Liberty has won each of its last 14 games against the Conference USA.
- Middle Tennessee has lost three of its last four night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Thirteen of Liberty’s last 15 games against the Conference USA have produced a total of 141+ points.
- Each of Middle Tennessee’s last six Thursday games against the Conference USA have produced a total of 137+ points.
Liberty vs Middle Tennessee Prediction
Liberty comes into this matchup undefeated in conference play and they have allowed fewer than 70 points in three straight games. The Flames are shooting 52% from the field, but they average just 30.7 rebounds per game. Middle Tennessee has alternated wins and losses over their last five and they have scored 59 points or fewer in three of their last four games. The Blue Raiders are shooting 44% from the field and four of their last five games have been decided by four points or fewer. This should be another tight game, but I can’t fade Liberty, as they continue to roll through the conference.