| MATCHUP | Liberty Flames | George Mason Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 25-7 | 23-9 |
| Where | George Mason Stadium | |
| When | Tuesday, March 17, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN2 | |
The Liberty Flames and George Mason Patriots meet Tuesday in the college basketball NIT at the EagleBank Arena. Here’s a Liberty vs. George Mason prediction. This article will include a Liberty vs. George Mason pick. The winner of this game will face off against Nevada and Murray State.
Liberty Flames Betting Preview
The Liberty Flames beat Sam Houston and lost to Missouri State. Liberty has split its last 8 games.
The Liberty Flames are averaging 78.6 points on 51.7 percent shooting and allowing 70.2 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Brett Decker Jr. is averaging 16.8 points and 2.6 rebounds, while Kaden Metheny is averaging 13.4 points and 3.1 rebounds. Colin Porter is the third double-digit scorer and Zach Cleveland is grabbing 7.6 rebounds. The Liberty Flames are shooting 40.2 percent from beyond the arc and 70.5 percent from the free throw line. The Liberty Flames are allowing 37.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 26.3 rebounds per game.
George Mason Patriots Betting Preview
The George Mason Patriots beat Saint Louis and lost to St. Bonaventure. George Mason has lost 6 of its last 8 games.
The George Mason Patriots are averaging 73.9 points on 47.7 percent shooting and allowing 67.7 points on 42.5 percent shooting. Kory Mincy is averaging 14.3 points and 3.5 rebounds, while Riley Allenspach is averaging 13.7 points and 6.1 rebounds. Jahari Long is the third double-digit scorer and Fatt Hill is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The George Mason Patriots are shooting 34.5 percent from beyond the arc and 73 percent from the free throw line. The George Mason Patriots are allowing 32.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.7 rebounds per game.
Why the George Mason Patriots will win
- George Mason has won 33 of its last 35 games against non-conference opponents at EagleBank Arena.
- George Mason has won the first half in eight of its last nine Tuesday home games against non-conference opponents.
Why the Liberty Flames will win
- Liberty has won 10 of its last 11 road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- George Mason has lost four of its last five games against the Conference USA.
Total Points Facts
- Each of George Mason’s last five games against the Conference USA Conference have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.
- Each of Liberty’s last four games has produced a total of 146+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- George Mason ranks 23rd among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (15.7).
- George Mason ranks T35th among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (67.6).
- Liberty ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.95).
- Liberty ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (51.7%).
Liberty vs George Mason Prediction
George Mason is going to be favored at home, where it’s been a strong team all year and the A10 is far more battle-tested than the CUSA. I get it. However, George Mason has lost 7 of its last 10 games and usually tournament games or bowl season in football don’t make a team more motivated to get off the canvas. It just leads to more subpar play. Liberty is in far and away better form and has 10 road wins this season. Liberty won’t be scared of the moment and that offense that shoots elite percentages across the board could spring an upset if George Mason isn’t excited about the NIT. Give me the points.