| MATCHUP | Kentucky Wildcats | Missouri Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 20-12 | 20-11 |
| Spread | -3.5 -102 | +3.5 -118 |
| Moneyline | -155 | +130 |
| Total | Over 148.5 (-110) | Under 148.5 (-110) |
| Where | Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN | |
| When | Thursday, March 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 12:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | SEC Network | |
In this article we will formulate a Kentucky vs Missouri prediction for this College Basketball game on Thursday, March 12th at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.
Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview
The Kentucky Wildcats are 20-12 (10-8) this season after they defeated LSU by a score of 87-82 in their last game. Kentucky led 46-43 at halftime and they added 41 points in the second half to seal the win. The Wildcats shot 50% from the field, 27% on three pointers, and 74% on free throws in the game. Otega Oweh led Kentucky with 23 points and eight rebounds, while Brandon Garrison added 17 points and five rebounds in the win.
Prior to that game, Kentucky lost to Florida by a score of 84-77 and Texas A&M by a score of 96-85. The Wildcats have scored 81.2 points per game with 38.3 rebounds and 16.2 assists per game, while they have allowed 73.7 points against per game this season. Otega Oweh is averaging 18.2 points and 4.5 rebounds per game, while Denzel Aberdeen is averaging 12.9 points and 3.5 assists per game for the Wildcats. Kentucky is shooting 46.6% from the field, 72.3% on free throws, and 34.9% on three pointers this season.
Missouri Tigers Betting Preview
The Missouri Tigers are 20-11 (10-8) this year after they lost to Arkansas in overtime by a score of 88-84 in their last game. Missouri trailed 39-36 at halftime, but they scored 38 points in the second half, before losing in OT. The Tigers shot 48% from the field, 30% on three pointers, and 75% on free throws in the game. Mark Mitchell led Missouri with 32 points and four assists, while Shawn Phillips Jr added 13 points and 10 rebounds in the loss.
Prior to that game, Missouri lost to Oklahoma by a score of 80-64, but did beat Mississippi State by a score of 88-64 before that. The Tigers have scored 79.9 points per game with 35.6 rebounds and 14.3 assists per game, while they have allowed 75.3 points against per game this season. Mark Mitchell is averaging 17.9 points and 5.2 rebounds per game, while Jayden Stone is averaging 13.5 points and 5.0 rebounds per game for the Tigers. Missouri is shooting 49.1% from the field, 68.7% on free throws, and 34.9% on three pointers this season.
Why the Missouri Tigers will win
- Missouri has won seven of its last eight Thursday games.
Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win
- Missouri has lost each of its last four games played at neutral venues.
- Kentucky has won each of its last four games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- Kentucky has won the first half in 21 of its last 27 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Kentucky’s last eight games have produced a total of 149+ points.
- Four of Missouri’s last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Bridgestone Arena have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Missouri ranks T38th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (24.2).
- Missouri ranks 48th among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (59.0%).
- Kentucky ranks 50th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (4.3).
Kentucky vs Missouri Prediction
Missouri comes into this matchup on a two game losing streak and they have allowed at least 80 points in three of their last five. The Tigers are shooting 49% from the field and they have scored at least 84 in three of their last five. Kentucky has won three of their last five games, but they have allowed at least 82 points in three straight. Neither team plays great defense and both offenses are scoring about 80 per game, so I like the over in this one.