Kentucky vs Florida Prediction 2/14/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Kentucky Wildcats and the Florida Gators meet Saturday in college basketball action from O’Connell Center in Gainesville. Here’s a Kentucky vs Florida prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Kentucky vs Florida pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview

Kentucky won nine of their first 15 games. The losses were to Louisville, Michigan State, North Carolina, Gonzaga, Alabama and Missouri in that stretch. The Wildcats would then hit a 6-1 run, taking wins over Mississippi State, LSU, Tennessee, Texas, Ole Miss and Arkansas. Two more wins versus Oklahoma and Tennessee came after that, giving Kentucky a 17-7 record in the first 24 games.

Last weekend versus Tennessee, the Wildcats were in trouble at halftime with a 47-33 deficit. Kentucky came back with a vengeance in the second on a 41-24 run however, eventually powering out the victory at home in dramatic fashion 74-71. Otega Oweh led the team on 21 points with four rebounds and two assists while Denzel Aberdeen had 16 points and three assists in the victory.

Florida Gators Betting Preview

Over on the Florida side, they went only 5-4 over their first nine games. Florida beat George Washington, Saint Francis, Colgate, Dartmouth, Georgia, Tennessee, Oklahoma, Vanderbilt and LSU over the next 10 outings, then lost to Auburn. Victories versus South Carolina, Alabama and Texas A&M came next. That would make for a 17-6 record in the first 23 games of the year.

Matched up against Georgia on Wednesday the Gators jumped out to a commanding lead at halftime 43-27. Florida kept it going in the second half with a 43-39 advantage and cruised to the 20-point victory on the road 86-66. Xaivian Lee put up 18 points with seven assists and three rebounds while Rueben Chinyelu had a whopping 20 rebounds alongside his seven points.

Kentucky Wildcats @ Florida Gators Betting Trends: February 14, 2026

Why the Florida Gators will win

• Florida has won each of its last 10 games as a top-15 AP-ranked team at Exactech Arena at Stephen C. O’Connell Center.
• Kentucky has lost eight of its last nine games as an AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
• Kentucky has lost the first half in six of its last seven day games against AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win

• Kentucky has won each of its last six games at Exactech Arena at Stephen C. O’Connell Center.
• Kentucky has won the first half in five of its last six day games against Florida.

Total Points Facts

• Twelve of Florida’s last 13 day games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 153+ points.
• Each of Kentucky’s last four road day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 158+ points.

Kentucky vs Florida Prediction

I’ll lean toward Florida. The Gators got past a good Georgia team this week in a road matchup, hitting 50.8 percent from the field while allowing just 34.7 percent on the other side. Florida added a 41-31 rebounding edge and 80 percent (12-of-15) from the line, but did have 14 turnovers along the way. The Gators have won four straight games now, hitting 86 or more points in all four of those.

As for Kentucky, they had a bad first half at home against Tennessee last weekend but managed to make the comeback on 50 percent shooting from the field. The Wildcats got blasted on the boards 45-27 however, and shot just 59.1 percent (13-of-22) at the line. This is going to be another tricky matchup for Kentucky, and they won’t stay close if they can’t clean up their mistakes from last weekend.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Florida Gators -11.5