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Kansas State vs Cincinnati Prediction 3/5/25 College Basketball Picks

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Cincinnati (17-12) vs Kansas State (14-15)

March 5, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati -9.5 — Over/Under: 136.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Kansas State Wildcats and the Cincinnati Bearcats meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the Fifth Third Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Kansas State vs. Cincinnati prediction.

Matchup History

The Kansas State Wildcats picked up a 70-67 win over Cincinnati at home on December 30th, 2024, marking their first win over Cincinnati in three all-time attempts.

Kansas State Recap

The Kansas State Wildcats come into this game looking to build on their 65-56 win over Colorado last time out to sit at 14-15 on the year. After this game, Kansas State will head home for a game against Iowa State to close out the regular season.

Wildcats Snap Four-Game Losing Skid

David N’Guessan leads the Wildcats in scoring with 13 PPG and 7.1 RPG while Brendan Hausen has 11.7 PPG. Coleman Hawkins has 10.7 PPG with 6.7 RPG and 4.5 APG and Dug McDaniel has 11.1 PPG with 2.7 RPG and 4.9 APG of his own to own the team lead in assists so far this season. Max Jones has 10 PPG with 3.9 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Kansas State up to this point in the season. As a team, Kansas State is averaging 72.6 PPG on 44.5% shooting from the field, 34.2% from three, and 69.1% from the foul line this season.

Why the Kansas State Wildcats will win

  • Kansas State has won each of its last four games when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Cincinnati Recap

The Cincinnati Bearcats come into this game looking to bounce back from a 73-64 loss at the hands of Houston last time out to slip to 17-12 on the year. After this game, Cincinnati will head on the road for a game against the Oklahoma State Cowboys to close out the regular season.

Bearcats Looking To Rebound

Jizzle James leads Cincinnati in scoring and assists with 12.8 PPG and 3.8 APG along with 3 RPG while Simas Lukosius has 11.1 PPG with 3 RPG and 2.2 APG. Dillon Mitchell has 10 PPG with a team-high 6.5 RPG to lead the Bearcats on the glass and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Cincinnati so far this season. Dan Skillings Jr. has 9 PPG with 3.8 RPG while Day Day Thomas has 9.2 PPG with 2.6 APG and Aziz Bandaogo has 7.7 PPG with 6.1 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Cincinnati is averaging 71.3 PPG on 45.5% shooting from the field, 33.2% from three, and 66.7% from the foul line this season.

Why the Cincinnati Bearcats will win

  • Cincinnati has won 28 of its last 30 night games at Fifth Third Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Kansas State has lost nine of its last 10 road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Kansas State’s last six night games against the Big 12 Conference has produced a total of 141+ points.
  • Five of Cincinnati’s last six home night games against the Big 12 Conference have produced a total of 146+ points.

Kansas State vs. Cincinnati Prediction

I’m on Kansas State and the points in this game. I think that Cincinnati probably wins, but this just feels like a case of too many points with a Kansas State team that hasn’t been playing all that badly in recent weeks. Sure the Wildcats undid all of the good that the win streak earlier this month did, but I don’t know if Cincinnati is this many points better than K-State, even in a must-win scenario for the Bearcats. I’ll take my chances with Kansas State and the points here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Kansas State +9.5

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