Jacksonville vs Bellarmine Prediction 3/4/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Dec 23, 2025; Lexington, Kentucky, USA; Bellarmine Knights forward Jack Karasinski (32) shoots the ball during the second half against the Kentucky Wildcats at Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center. Mandatory Credit: Jordan Prather-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Jacksonville Dolphins
Bellarmine Knights
Team Records
12-19
12-18
Spread
+1.5 -110
-1.5 -110
Moneyline
-102
-118
Total
Over 147.5 (-105)
Under 147.5 (-115)
Where
UNF Arena, Jacksonville, FL
When
Wednesday, March 4, 2026
Time
12:00 PM EST
TV
ESPN+
The Jacksonville Dolphins and the Bellarmine Knights meet Monday in college basketball action from the UNF Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine Knights prediction.
Jacksonville Dolphins Recap
The Jacksonville Dolphins come into this game as the 9-seed, finishing the year at 12-19 overall including a 7-11 mark in ASUN conference play.
Dolphins Win Back-To-Back Games To Close Out Season
Hayden Wood leads the Dolphins in scoring with 11.5 PPG and 3.1 RPG as the lone double-digit scorer for Jacksonville so far this season. Jaylen Jones leads the Dolphins in scoring with 9.6 PPG with 3.5 RPG and 2.5 APG. Chris Lockett Jr. has 8.9 PPG with 3 RPG and Donovan Rivers has 8.8 PPG with 4.6 RPG while Jason Thirdkill Jr. has 8 PPG with a team-high 5.3 RPG to lead the Dolphins on the glass. Evan Sterck also has 6.6 PPG with a team-high 3.1 APG to lead the Dolphins in assists this season. As a team, Jacksonville is averaging 72.9 PPG on 45.5% shooting from the field, 32.2% from three and 71.8% from the foul line this season.
Bellarmine Knights Recap
The Bellarmine Knights come into this game as the 8-seed, finishing the year at 12-18 this season including a 7-11 mark in ASUN conference play.
Knights Snap Five-Game Skid To Close Out Year
Jack Karasinski leads the Knights in scoring and rebounding with 21.3 PPG and 4.8 RPG while Brian Waddell has 15 PPG with 4.1 RPG and Kenyon Goodin has 11.8 PPG with 2.8 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Bellarmine up to this point in the year. Tyler Doyle also has 9.7 PPG with a team-high 3.6 APG as well this season. As a team, Bellarmine is averaging 80.2 PPG on 52.1% shooting from the field, 38.2% from three and 79.2% from the foul line so far this season.
Jacksonville Dolphins @ Bellarmine Knights Betting Trends: March 4, 2026
Why the Bellarmine Knights will win
Bellarmine has won four of its last five Conference Tournament games.
Jacksonville has lost three of its last four games at UNF Arena.
Jacksonville has lost the first half in each of its last four Conference Tournament games.
Why the Jacksonville Dolphins will win
Bellarmine has lost five of its last six games.
Bellarmine has lost the first half in four of its last five games.
Total Points Facts
Twelve of Bellarmine’s last 13 day games have produced a total of 149+ points.
Three of Jacksonville’s last four Conference Tournament games have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
Bellarmine ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (39.3%).
Bellarmine is the only team to rank in the top-five for both field goal percentage and free throw percentage this season.
Jacksonville ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (30.9).
Jacksonville ranks 22nd among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (19.1).
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine Knights Prediction
I’m on Bellarmine here. I just think that the Knights are the better team with more scoring punch in this game, and I just don’t know how much I trust Jacksonville to be able to keep pace. There’s only so far Jacksonville’s defense can get them here, and I think the Knights take care of business and advance in this one. Give me Bellarmine.