| MATCHUP | Iowa State Cyclones | TCU Horned Frogs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 21-2 | 14-9 |
| Spread | -6.5 -118 | +6.5 -102 |
| Moneyline | -278 | +225 |
| Total | Over 147.5 (-105) | Under 147.5 (-115) |
| Where | Schollmaier Arena, Fort Worth, TX | |
| When | Tuesday, February 10, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:00 PM EST | |
| TV | FS1 | |
In this article we will formulate an Iowa State vs TCU prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, February 10th at Schollmaier Arena in Fort Worth, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.
Iowa State Cyclones Betting Preview
The Iowa State Cyclones are 21-2 (8-2) this season after they defeated Baylor by a score of 72-69 in their last game. Iowa State led 37-33 at halftime, but they were outscored 36-35 in the second half in the win. The Cyclones shot 50% from the field, 29% on three pointers, and 63% on free throws in the game. Milan Momcilovic led Iowa State with 21 points and five rebounds, while Joshua Jefferson added 15 points and five rebounds in the win.
Prior to that game, Iowa State defeated Kansas State by a score of 95-61 and Colorado by a score of 97-67. The Cyclones have scored 85.9 points per game with 36.9 rebounds and 18.4 assists per game, while they have allowed 65.0 points against per game this season. Milan Momcilovic is averaging 18.7 points and 3.2 rebounds per game, while Joshua Jefferson is averaging 17.2 points and 7.7 rebounds per game for the Cyclones. Iowa State is shooting 51.3% from the field, 68.4% on free throws, and 40.7% on three pointers this season.
TCU Horned Frogs Betting Preview
The TCU Horned Frogs are 14-9 (4-6) this year after they defeated Kansas State by a score of 84-82 in their last game. TCU trailed 46-42 at halftime, but they held Kansas State to just 36 points in the second half in the win. The Horned Frogs shot 46% from the field, 31% on three pointers, and 61% on free throws in the game. Xavier Edmonds led TCU with 26 points and 10 rebounds, while Micah Robinson added 16 points and six rebounds in the win.
Prior to that game, TCU lost to Colorado by a score of 87-61 and Houston by a score of 79-70. The Horned Frogs have scored 78.9 points per game with 35.7 rebounds and 16.0 assists per game, while they have allowed 72.0 points against per game this season. David Punch is averaging 14.3 points and 7.2 rebounds per game, while Xavier Edmonds is averaging 12.7 points and 5.8 rebounds per game for the Horned Frogs. TCU is shooting 45.6% from the field, 71.3% on free throws, and 33.3% on three pointers this year.
Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win
- TCU has won each of its last four home games following a home win.
- Iowa State has lost three of its last four road games as a top-5 AP-ranked team.
- TCU has won the first half in four of its last five night games at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Iowa State Cyclones will win
- Iowa State has won 11 of its last 12 night games.
- TCU has lost 10 of its last 11 night games against AP-ranked opponents.
- TCU has lost the first half in each of its last four home games.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of TCU’s last 10 home night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.
- Each of Iowa State’s last five road night games against the Big 12 Conference have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
Iowa State vs TCU Prediction
Iowa State rolls into this matchup with an 8-2 record in Big 12 play, but they barely got by Baylor in their last game and they will be on the road. The Cyclones are shooting 51% from the field and they have scored 84+ points in four of their last five. TCU has lost two of their last three games and they are shooting 46% from the field. The Horned Frogs have allowed 79+ points in four straight games and I just don’t think that kind of defense will work here. Take Iowa State to cover on the road.