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Indiana vs Oregon Prediction 3/4/25 College Basketball Picks

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Oregon (21-8) vs Indiana (18-11)

March 4, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Oregon -5.5 — Over/Under: 147.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Indiana Hoosiers and Oregon Ducks meet on Tuesday in college basketball action at Matthew Knight Arena. Here’s an Indiana vs Oregon Prediction. This article will include an Indiana vs Oregon Pick.

Indiana Hoosiers Betting Preview

The Indiana Hoosiers (18-11, 16-13 ATS) put a bad period of results behind them and responded with four wins in the last five games. Indiana went through a poor sequence of seven defeats in eight games, and lost five in a row in the process, the Hoosiers’ longest negative streak of the year. Following an upset of Michigan State on the road, Indiana lost to UCLA at home, but then connected three victories over Purdue, Penn State, and Washington. Indiana is 9th in the Big Ten Standings with a game behind Oregon and one more than Ohio State.

Indiana averages 75.9 PPG (129th) and allows 72.4 PPG (196th). The Hoosiers are 136th in rebounds (36.4) and 61st in assists (15.9). Oumar Ballo leads the team with 13.4 PPG, a team-high 9.1 RPG, 2.3 APG, and a team-high 1.4 BPG. Malik Reneau follows him with 13.2 PPG, 5.6 RPG, and 2.1 APG, while Mackenzie Mgbako has 12.5 PPG and 4.5 RPG.

Oregon Ducks Betting Preview

The Oregon Ducks (21-8, 13-15-1 ATS) also went through their worst stretch of the season. Following a run of five consecutive defeats, Oregon responded with five straight victories, defeating Northwestern, Rutgers, Iowa, Wisconsin, and USC. That was a nice way to bounce back and the Ducks now look to finish teh regular season in the same fashion. Oregon is 8th in the Big Ten Standings with five games behind the leaders Michigan State.

Oregon is averaging 76.8 PPG (108th) and is allowing 71.4 PPG (162nd). The Ducks are getting 35.3 RPG (207th) and dish out 14.6 APG (127th). Jackson Shelstad is the team’s top scorer with 13.4 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 2.7 APG, and 1.0 SPG. Nate Bittle adds 13.3 PPG, a team-high 7.1 RPG, and a team-high 2.2 BPG, while Keeshawn Barthelemy contributes 10.2 PPG, 2.4 RPG, 2.6 APG, and 1.1 SPG. 

Why Oregon will beat Indiana

  • Oregon has won 10 of its last 11 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Indiana has lost the first half in three of its last four games against the Big Ten Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of Oregon’s last eight night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Matthew Knight Arena have produced a total of 149+ points.
  • Six of Indiana’s last seven games have produced a total of 140 or fewer points.

Indiana vs Oregon Prediction

Indiana did win the last two road games, but Oregon has been impressive of late and I am leaning toward the Ducks in this one. Oregon is 11-4 at home, while Indiana is 4-5 on the road this season. The Ducks managed to cover the spread in three of the past four games and scored 75+ in each of the previous five. It’s not going to be a very comfortable win for the hosts, but I am backing them to cover. 

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Oregon -6

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