Indiana vs Illinois Prediction 2/15/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Chris Ruffolo

4 hours ago

Feb 10, 2026; Champaign, Illinois, USA; Illinois Fighting Illini guard Keaton Wagler (23) shoots the ball over Wisconsin Badgers guard John Blackwell (25) during the first half at State Farm Center. Mandatory Credit: Ron Johnson-Imagn Images

MATCHUP	Indiana Hoosiers	Illinois Fighting Illini
Team Records	17-8	20-5
Spread	+10.5 -108	-10.5 -112
Moneyline	+490	-675
Total	Over 152.5 (-108)	Under 152.5 (-112)
Where	State Farm Center, Champaign, IL
When	Sunday, February 15, 2026
Time	01:00 PM EST
TV	CBS

The Indiana Hoosiers and the Illinois Fighting Illini meet Sunday in college basketball action from the State Farm Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Indiana Hoosiers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini prediction.

Indiana Hoosiers Recap

The Indiana Hoosiers come into this game looking to add on to their 92-74 win over Oregon in their last game to sit at 17-8 this season. After this game, Indiana will head on the road for a game against Purdue.

Hoosiers Win 5 Of Last 6

Lamar Wilkerson leads the Hoosiers in scoring with 21.2 PPG along with 3.7 RPG and 2.6 APG while Tucker DeVries has 13.8 PPG with 5.5 RPG and 3.3 APG to lead the Hoosiers in rebounding. Tayton Conerway has 10.5 PPG with 3.8 APG along with 3.1 RPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for the Hoosiers up to this point in the year. Reed Bailey has 9.3 PPG with 3.7 RPG and Nick Dorn’s added 9.2 PPG while Conor Enright has a team-high 4.8 APG as well on the year. As a team, Indiana is averaging 81.5 PPG on 47.2% shooting from the field, 35.1% from three and 78.8% from the foul line so far this season.

Illinois Fighting Illini Recap

The Illinois Fighting Illini come into this game looking to bounce back from their 92-90 loss at the hands of Wisconsin last time out to drop to 20-5 this season. After this game, Illinois will head on the road for a game against USC.

Illini Drop Back-To-Back Games

Keaton Wagler leads the Illini in scoring and assists with 18.5 PPG along with 4.9 RPG and 4.3 APG while Andrej Stojakovic has 13.7 PPG with 4.6 RPG. Kylan Boswell has 14.3 PPG with 4.2 RPG and 3.4 APG and David Mirkovic has 12.6 PPG with a team-high 8 RPG to lead the Illini in rebounding as well this season. Tomislav Ivisic has 10.4 PPG with 5.7 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Illinois up to this point in the year. Zvonimir Ivisic also has 7.2 PPG and 5.4 RPG as well this season. As a team, Illinois is averaging 84.7 PPG on 46.7% shooting from the field, 36.1% from three and 78.4% from the foul line this season.

Indiana Hoosiers @ Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Trends: February 15, 2026

Why the Illinois Fighting Illini will win

Illinois has won each of its last 15 games at State Farm Center when playing with a rest disadvantage.
Indiana has lost each of its last 10 games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
Illinois has won the first half in 20 of its last 21 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Indiana Hoosiers will win

Indiana has won seven of its last eight games when playing with a rest advantage.
The road team has won the first half in three of the last four games between Indiana and Illinois.

Total Points Facts

Each of the last six day games between Indiana and Illinois have produced a total of 139 or fewer points.
Each of Indiana’s last five games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 157+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

Illinois ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (3.5).
Illinois ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (7.6).
Indiana ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (78.8%).
Indiana ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for assist to turnover ratio this season (1.73).

Indiana Hoosiers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini Prediction

I’m on Indiana and the points here. I just think this is a situation where the line is just a bit too big. This is an experienced Indiana team that’s not intimidated with the prospect of going on the road to battle Illinois here, and the Hoosiers can shoot threes and make them at a fairly high rate which could be something Illinois struggles to defend. Even if Illinois wins, I see Indiana keeping this one in range so give me the Hoosiers and the points.