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Indiana State vs Southern Illinois Prediction 3/6/25 College Basketball Picks

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Southern Illinois (13-18) vs Indiana State (14-17)

March 6, 2025 at 01:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Southern Illinois -1 — Over/Under: 156.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Indiana State Sycamores and Southern Illinois Salukis meet Thursday in the college basketball MVC Tournament at the Enterprise Center. Here’s an Indiana State vs Southern Illinois Prediction. This article will include an Indiana State vs Southern Illinois Pick.

Indiana State Sycamores Betting Preview 

The Indiana State Sycamores recently lost to Belmont and Murray State, while beating Southern Illinois. Indiana State looks for two straight wins for the first time since February 1-5.

The Indiana State Sycamores are averaging 80 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 79.3 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Samage Teel is averaging 17.1 points and 4.2 rebounds, while Jaden Doughty is averaging 13 points and 4.2 rebounds. Aaron Gray is dishing 0.5 assists and Camp Wagner is grabbing 2.8 rebounds. The Indiana State Sycamores are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 75.4 percent from the free throw line. The Indiana State Sycamores are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.5 rebounds per game.

Southern Illinois Salukis Betting Preview 

The Southern Illinois Salukis recently lost to Valparaiso and Indiana State, while beating Illinois State. Southern Illinois has lost five of its last six games. 

The Southern Illinois Salukis are averaging 73.1 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 74.3 points on 44.5 percent shooting. Ali Dibba is averaging 16.8 points and 2 assists, while Kennard Davis Jr. is averaging 16.3 points and 4.9 rebounds. Elijah Elliott is the third double-digit scorer and Jarrett Hensley is grabbing 5.9 rebounds. The Southern Illinois Salukis are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 67.7 percent from the free throw line. The Southern Illinois Salukis are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Southern Illinois Salukis will win

  • Indiana State has lost three of its last four games against the Missouri Valley Conference.

Why the Indiana State Sycamores will win

  • Southern Illinois has lost five of its last six games.
  • Indiana State has won seven of its last nine day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
  • Southern Illinois has lost the first half in each of its last five games against the Missouri Valley Conference at Enterprise Center.

Total Points Facts

  • Seventy-one of Southern Illinois’ last 73 day games against the Missouri Valley Conference have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.
  • Seven of Indiana State’s last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 158+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Indiana State ranks T23rd among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (10.1).
  • Indiana State ranks 37th among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (59.0%).

Indiana State vs Southern Illinois Prediction Injury Report

Neither Indiana State nor Southern Illinois have a player listed on its injury report.

Indiana State vs Southern Illinois Prediction

Southern Illinois has lost five of its last six games and isn’t playing much defense. Indiana State just waxed Southern Illinois a few days ago, scoring 95 points on 59.3 percent shooting. Indiana State has an offense that can be sneaky explosive and if Southern Illinois isn’t ready to turn things around, this has a chance to get ugly yet again. Early start time and a neutral site, we could see a sluggish, sloppy start. I’m still going to lean toward Indiana State in this near-pick ’em spot based on what we saw four days ago. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Indiana State +1

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