| MATCHUP | Idaho Vandals | Sacramento State Hornets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 14-13 | 9-17 |
| Where | Hornet Pavilion, Sacramento, CA | |
| When | Saturday, February 21, 2026 | |
| Time | 10:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
In this article, we will formulate an Idaho vs Sacramento State Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 21st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
Sacramento State Hornets Preview
The Sacramento State Hornets have a 9-17 overall record and a 5-9 record in the Big Sky. They are coming off a 102-94 home loss against Eastern Washington and their previous three games were a 79-74 road loss against Northern Arizona, a 95-79 road loss against Northern Colorado and a 74-73 home loss against Portland State.
Offensively, Sacramento State averages 79.5 points per game, while allowing 83.1 points per game defensively. The Hornets shoot with 43% from the field and grab 35 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.2 assists per game. They average 3.5 blocks per game and 7.4 steals per game defensively.
Prophet Johnson leads Sacramento State in scoring, with an average of 18.9 points per game, while shooting with 48.7% from the field and 73.9% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 7.8 rebounds. Mikey Williams leads the team in assists with 4.5 per game.
Idaho Vandals Preview
The Idaho Vandals have a 14-13 overall record and a 6-8 record in the Big Sky. They are coming off a 77-67 road loss against Portland State and their previous three games were a 99-69 home win against Idaho State, an 83-72 home loss against Weber State and a 73-68 road loss against Montana.
Offensively, Idaho averages 79 points per game, while allowing 73.8 points per game defensively. The Vandals shoot with 45% from the field and grab 36.5 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12.9 assists per game. They average 2.1 blocks per game and 6 steals per game defensively.
Kolton Mitchell leads Idaho in scoring, with an average of 13.9 points per game, while shooting with 38.4% from the field and 79.1% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 4 assists. Brody Rowbury is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.4 per game.
Idaho Vandals @ Sacramento State Hornets Betting Trends: February 21, 2026
Why the Sacramento State Hornets will win
- The home team has won 21 of Sacramento State’s last 23 games.
- Idaho has lost four of its last five games.
- Idaho has lost the first half in each of its last three night games.
Why the Idaho Vandals will win
- Sacramento State has lost 12 of its last 13 games following a home loss.
- Idaho has won six of its last seven games against Sacramento State.
- Sacramento State has lost the first half in each of its last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Thirty-one of Idaho’s last 33 night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 162 or fewer points.
- Fourteen of the last 15 games between Idaho and Sacramento State have produced a total of 162 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Sacramento State ranks 356th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (39.1).
- Sacramento State ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (19.6).
- Idaho ranks T27th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (10.4).
- Idaho ranks 29th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (28.8).
Idaho vs Sacramento State Prediction
In this Idaho vs Sacramento State Prediction, Idaho is coming as -3.5 road favorites. Idaho has been the better team this season but has been very bad against the spread with a 9-15 ATS record. They have also been struggling lately with a 2-6 record in their last 8 games and are up against a Sacramento team that has lost four straight, but are 7-2 ATS at home. I cannot pick a side here and both teams are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 games combined and the over is also 3-1 in their last 4 head-to-head meetings. With Sacramento having a bottom-10 defense in the entire nation, I have to go over the 163 points in this one.