Idaho vs Portland State Prediction 3/10/25 College Basketball Picks

The Idaho Vandals are visiting the Portland State Vikings on Tuesday, March 11th at the Idaho Central Arena, in this Big Sky Quarterfinal between the 3rd seed and the 6th seed of the conference. The winner of this single-elimination game will face Montana in the second semifinal on Tuesday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Idaho Vandals vs Portland State Vikings Prediction. We will examine:

The Portland State Vikings’ recent form and player performance

The Idaho Vandals’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Portland State Vikings

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Idaho Vandals

Recent betting trends in games played between the Idaho Vandals and Portland State Vikings

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Idaho Vandals vs Portland State Vikings game

Portland State Vikings Preview

The Portland State Vikings finished the regular season with a 19-12 record and were placed 3rd in the Big Sky. Portland State is coming off a 59-56 win over Sacramento State. The Vikings are 16-11-1 against the spread, and 13-15 in over/under.

Offensively, Portland State is averaging 75.7 points per game, which ranks 124th in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 69.3 points per game (94th). The Vikings shoot 47.6% from the field (45th) and 33.2% from beyond the arc (232nd). The Vikings shoot 63.2% from the free throw line (360th) and are grabbing 37 rebounds per game (92nd).

Jaylin Henderson leads Portland State in scoring this season, with an average of 13.1 points and 3.8 rebounds per game, while Terri Miller adds 11.9 points and 5.3 rebounds per game.

Idaho Vandals Preview

The Idaho Vandals finished the regular season with a 13-18 record and were placed 5th in the Big Sky. Idaho is coming off a 60-75 loss to Montana State. The Vandals are 10-16-3 against the spread, and 18-11 in over/under. 

Offensively, Idaho is averaging 74 points per game, which ranks 177th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 75.6 points per game (285th). The Vandals shoot 44.2% from the field (212th) and 35.3% from beyond the arc (102nd). The Vandals shoot 75.2% from the free-throw line (69th) and are grabbing 33.4 rebounds per game (288th).

Kolton Mitchell leads Idaho in scoring, with an average of 11.3 points and a team-high 3.4 assists, while Kristian Gonzalez adds 11.1 points and 2.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Portland State Vikings will win

• Idaho has lost each of its last 10 games at Idaho Central Arena.
• Portland State has won each of its last seven games against Idaho.
• Idaho has lost the first half in each of its last seven games against the Big Sky Conference at neutral venues.

Why the Idaho Vandals will win

• Portland State has lost five of its last six night games played at neutral venues.
• Portland State has lost the first half in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Portland State’s last six night games at a neutral venue has produced a total of 154+ points.
• Ten of Idaho’s last 12 games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 145+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Portland State ranks 360th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (63.2%).
• Portland State ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (5.0).
• Idaho ranks 36th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (69.1%).
• Idaho ranks 45th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (9.5).

Idaho Vandals vs Portland State Vikings Prediction

Portland State is 9-1 in their last 10 meetings against Idaho and is 8-2 against the spread. Under is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, Portland State won 76-69 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went under the total.

In this Idaho Vandals vs Portland State Vikings Prediction, Portland State is coming as -4.5-point favorites. Portland State is rightfully favored, as they had a better record this season, but both teams had exactly 5 wins on the road this season. Both teams have not been in great form lately, as Portland State is 5-2 in their last 7 games, but just 1-3-1 against the spread in their last 5. Idaho is 1-3 in their last 4 games and 1-7-1 against the spread in their last 9 games. Both offenses have been unstable lately, and as a result, both teams have been playing some lower-scoring games, going for 5-3 to the under in their last 8 games. In this single elimination game, I expect a low-scoring grind, so give me the under.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 143.5