| MATCHUP | Idaho Vandals | Cal Poly Mustangs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 7-4 | 5-8 |
| Spread | -2.5 -108 | +2.5 -112 |
| Moneyline | -142 | +120 |
| Total | Over 168.5 (-110) | Under 168.5 (-110) |
| Where | Mott Athletics Center, San Luis Obispo, CA | |
| When | Sunday, December 21, 2025 | |
| Time | 07:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Cal Poly Mustangs Preview
Cal Poly Mustangs have a 5-8 record this season and are sitting in 7th place of the Big West Conference. They have a 2-2 home record and are coming off a 108-87 away loss against UCLA. Their previous three games were an 83-80 home loss against Montana State, an 88-84 home loss against UC Riverside, and a 94-91 away win against Cal State Fullerton.
Offensively, Cal Poly averages 82.9 points per game, while allowing 87.7 points per game defensively. The Mustangs shoot with 44.2% from the field and grab 39.2 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.3 assists per game. They average 2.3 blocks per game and 6.3 steals per game defensively.
Hamad Mousa leads Cal Poly in scoring, with an average of 19.6 points per game, while shooting with 45.6% from the field and 84% from the free throw line. Ali Assran leads the team in rebounds with 5.5 per game, while Peter Bandelj adds a team-high 3.8 assists per game.
Idaho Vandals Preview
Idaho Vandals have a 7-4 record this season and are sitting in 2nd place of the Big Sky Conference. They have a 2-3 away record and are coming off a 109-55 home win against Eastern State College. Their previous three games were an 80-65 away loss against Notre Dame, an 84-81 away win against South Dakota State, and a 90-58 home win against North Dakota.
Offensively, Idaho averages 82.6 points per game, while allowing 71.2 points per game defensively. The Vandals shoot with 47% from the field and grab 38 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.8 assists per game. They average 2 blocks per game and 5.5 steals per game defensively.
Jackson Rasmussen leads Idaho in scoring, with an average of 15.4 points per game, while shooting with 58.1% from the field and 71.4% from the free throw line. Brody Rowbury leads the team in rebounds with 5.5 per game, while Kolton Mitchell adds a team-high 3.7 assists per game.
Idaho Vandals @ Cal Poly Mustangs Betting Trends: December 21, 2025
Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win
- Idaho has lost each of its last five road day games against the Big West Conference.
- Cal Poly has won four of its last five games against non-Conference opponents at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center.
- Cal Poly has won the first half in five of its last six games at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center.
Why the Idaho Vandals will win
- Cal Poly has lost eight of its last nine games against the Big Sky Conference.
- Idaho has won three of its last four games.
- Idaho has won the first half in five of its last six day games against the Big West Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Idaho’s last 85 games have produced a total of 167 or fewer points.
- Twenty-four of Cal Poly’s last 25 games against non-Conference opponents at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center have produced a total of 163 or fewer points.
Idaho vs Cal Poly Prediction
In this Idaho vs Cal Poly Prediction, Idaho is coming as -2.5 road favorites. Idaho has been the better team this season, as they have half as many defeats as Cal Poly so far, and both teams have exactly two home/away wins. Cal Poly is coming off three consecutive losses and have a far weaker defense, allowing 16.5 points per game more than Idaho, so I expect the road team to get the job done in this matchup. Take Idaho and lay the points.