| MATCHUP | Hawai'i Warriors | Cal Poly Mustangs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 12-3 | 7-11 |
| Where | Mott Athletics Center, San Luis Obispo, CA | |
| When | Thursday, January 15, 2026 | |
| Time | 10:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Cal Poly Mustangs Preview
Cal Poly Mustangs have a 7-11 record this season and are tied in the 6th place of the Big West Conference. They have a 4-3 home record and are coming off an 84-78 home win against UC Davis. Their previous three games were a 95-90 away loss against Cal State Northridge, a 74-66 away loss against Long Beach State and a 67-65 home win against UC San Diego.
Offensively, Cal Poly averages 81.4 points per game, while allowing 85.3 points per game defensively. The Mustangs shoot with 42% from the field and grab 39.0 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12.7 assists per game. They average 2.2 blocks per game and 6.5 steals per game defensively.
Hamad Mousa leads Cal Poly in scoring, with an average of 21.8 points per game, while shooting with 45.3% from the field and 85.7% from the free throw line, and is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.5 per game. Peter Bandelj leads the team in assists with 3.3 per game.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Preview
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors have a 12-3 record this season and are in the 2nd place of the Big West Conference. They have a 1-2 road record and are coming off a 67-66 home win against UC Irvine. Their previous three games were a 83-73 away loss against UC San Diego, a 88-45 away win against UC Riverside and a 66-61 home win against UTEP.
Offensively, Hawaii averages 79.5 points per game, while allowing 63.4 points per game defensively. The Rainbow Warriors shoot with 47% from the field and grab 40.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.1 assists per game. They average 4.1 blocks per game and 6.5 steals per game defensively.
Isaac Johnson leads Hawaii in scoring, with an average of 12.9 points per game, while shooting with 52.1% from the field and 90.2% from the free throw line, and is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.5 per game. Aaron Hunkin-Claytor leads the team in assists with 4.1 per game.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors @ Cal Poly Mustangs Betting Trends: January 15, 2026
Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win
- Hawaii has lost each of its last seven road night games against Conference opponents.
- The home team has won 16 of Hawaii’s last 18 games.
- The home team has won the first half in 13 of Hawaii’s last 15 games.
Why the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will win
- Hawaii has won nine of its last 10 games against Cal Poly.
- Cal Poly has lost 18 of its last 21 home night games against Conference opponents.
- Hawaii has won the first half in each of its last 18 games against Cal Poly.
Hawaii vs Cal Poly Prediction
In this Hawaii vs Cal Poly, Hawaii is coming as -6.5 road favorites. Hawaii has been the better team this season, with a superior overall record but they have been below average on the road. They have been red-hot lately, with a 8-1 record in their last 9 games but are 1-4 against the spread in their last 5. Cal Poly is struggling with a 2-6 record in its last 8 games but are 3-1 against the spread, so I see no value on either side. Both teams are 10-2 to the under in their last 12 games combined, as Hawaii has a top-30 defense in the entire country, so I expect a low-scoring affair. Take the under 152.5 in this one.