| MATCHUP | Gonzaga Bulldogs | St. Mary's Gaels |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 28-2 | 26-4 |
| Where | University Credit Union Pavilion, Moraga, CA | |
| When | Saturday, February 28, 2026 | |
| Time | 10:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
Gonzaga Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Gonzaga Bulldogs beat Pacific and Portland. Gonzaga has won 28 of its last 30 games.
The Gonzaga Bulldogs are averaging 87.4 points on 51.6 percent shooting and allowing 67 points on 39.8 percent shooting. Graham Ike is averaging 19.8 points and 2.5 assists, while Braden Huff is averaging 17.8 points and 5.6 rebounds. Tyon Grant-Foster is the third double-digit scorer and Mario Saint-Supery is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The Gonzaga Bulldogs are shooting 34.1 percent from beyond the arc and 69.8 percent from the free throw line. The Gonzaga Bulldogs are allowing 30.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.9 rebounds per game.
Saint Mary’s Gaels Betting Preview
The Saint Mary’s Gaels beat Washington State and Santa Clara. Saint Mary’s has won 7 straight games.
The Saint Mary’s Gaels are averaging 78.7 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 64.4 points on 40.3 percent shooting. Paulius Murauskas is averaging 18.9 points and 2.2 assists, while Mikey Lewis is averaging 13.4 points and 2.7 rebounds. Joshua Dent is the third double-digit scorer and Andrew McKeever is dishing 1.7 assists. The Saint Mary’s Gaels are shooting 38.6 percent from beyond the arc and 80.4 percent from the free throw line. The Saint Mary’s Gaels are allowing 30.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.2 rebounds per game.
Why the Saint Mary’s Gaels will win
- Saint Mary’s has won each of its last 25 games at University Credit Union Pavilion.
- Gonzaga has lost three of its last four night games at the University Credit Union Pavilion.
Why the Gonzaga Bulldogs will win
- Gonzaga has won 45 of its last 46 February games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
- Saint Mary’s has lost 13 of its last 14 night games against top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
- Saint Mary’s has lost the first half in eight of its last nine night games against AP-ranked opponents at the University Credit Union Pavilion.
Total Points: Facts
- Each of the last seven night games between Gonzaga and Saint Mary’s has produced a total of 138 or fewer points.
- Seven of Gonzaga’s last eight night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at the University Credit Union Pavilion have produced a total of 137 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Saint Mary’s ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (58.3%).
- Saint Mary’s ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (64.4).
- Gonzaga ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (93.4).
- Gonzaga ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for net rating this season (+29.3).
Gonzaga vs St. Mary’s Prediction
Gonzaga is going to be favored because it’s Gonzaga. I get it. However, St. Mary’s is undefeated at home and has the defense and size to go with the offense. This is a chance for St. Mary’s to take over the WCC and finally slay the dragon. The underdog has done well in this series, covering seven of the last eight meetings. St. Mary’s is high level on both sides of the ball. Throw in the towel, and I like the Gaels to win this game outright. I’ll grab the bucket for insurance, but I’m on St. Mary’s.