| MATCHUP | Georgia Southern Eagles | Arkansas State Red Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 17-15 | 20-11 |
| Where | Pensacola Bay Center, Pensacola, FL | |
| When | Thursday, March 5, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Georgia Southern Eagles Betting Preview
The Georgia Southern Eagles beat Marshall and Old Dominion. Georgia Southern has lost 6 of its last 9 games.
The Georgia Southern Eagles are averaging 83.1 points on 43.1 percent shooting and allowing 82.5 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Spud Webb is averaging 15.6 points and 4.6 rebounds, while Tyren Moore is averaging 15.2 points and 2.8 rebounds. Alden Applewhite is the third double-digit scorer and Nakavieon White is grabbing 3.1 rebounds. The Georgia Southern Eagles are shooting 32.4 percent from beyond the arc and 73.1 percent from the free throw line. The Georgia Southern Eagles are allowing 33.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.5 rebounds per game.
Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview
The Arkansas State Red Wolves beat Louisiana and Southern Miss. Arkansas State has won 4 straight games.
The Arkansas State Red Wolves are averaging 85.9 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 79.7 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Christian Harmon is averaging 12.9 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Matt Hayman is averaging 11.4 points and 2.3 assists. Chandler Jackson is the third double-digit scorer, and Joey Chammaa is grabbing 2.2 rebounds. The Arkansas State Red Wolves are shooting 33.4 percent from beyond the arc and 73.9 percent from the free throw line. The Arkansas State Red Wolves are allowing 32.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win
- Arkansas State has won seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Georgia Southern has lost three of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
- Georgia Southern has lost the first half in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
Why the Georgia Southern Eagles will win
- Arkansas State has lost nine of its last 10 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Total Points: Facts
- Fifteen of Georgia Southern’s last 16 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 166 or fewer points.
- Fourteen of Arkansas State’s last 15 games against conference opponents at neutral venues have produced a total of 162 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Arkansas State ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (55.2%).
- Arkansas State ranks 25th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (71.6).
- Georgia Southern ranks 35th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (24.3).
- Georgia Southern ranks 36th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (17.8).
Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State Prediction
Arkansas State has the rest advantage and made light work of Georgia Southern in late January. I get it. However, Arkansas State has had issues at times this season in the big favorite role and that includes outright losses to Old Dominion and Marshall. Sports math isn’t an effective handicapping measure, but Georgia Southern beat Marshall last week on the road as 7.5-point underdogs. Georgia Southern also just beat ODU yesterday in the tournament. We also often see these teams that played the day before look sharper out of the gate than teams that have rested. Give me the points with Georgia Southern.