| MATCHUP | Fresno State Bulldogs | UC San Diego Tritons |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Spread | +9.5 -110 | -9.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +360 | -470 |
| Total | Over 151.5 (-112) | Under 151.5 (-108) |
| Where | LionTree Arena, San Diego, CA | |
| When | Saturday, November 7, 2026 | |
| Time | 10:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Fresno State vs UC San Diego Prediction
In this Fresno State vs UC San Diego Prediction, UC San Diego is coming as -9.5 home favorites. Both teams are coming off wins in their opening games of the season, as UC San Diego had an easy time against an inferior opponent and won by 25 points at home and will be playing for the second straight time to start the season at home court. Fresno State almost won by double digits against an inferior opponent as well and this will be the first real test for both teams. Both teams played mostly low-scoring games last season, as they were 18-13 and 20-12 to the under throughout the year and I expect both defenses to tighten up for this matchup, so I will go with the under 151.5 points in this one.
UC San Diego Tritons Preview
The UC San Diego Tritons have a 1-0 overall record and a 1-0 home record. They are coming off a 100-75 home win against Whittier and will face Utah State and Texas Southern next.
Offensively, they are averaging 100 points per game (ranking 39th in the nation), while allowing 75 points per game defensively (219th). They have a 126.3 offensive rating (ranking 80th) and a 94.7 defensive rating (165th). The Tritons are shooting 48% from the field (ranking 143rd in the nation) and 31% from beyond the arc (213th), while grabbing 49 rebounds per game (39th in the nation) and averaging 16 assists per game (159th). They have 2 blocks per game (267th in the nation) and 9 steals per game (120th).
Kayde Dotson leads UC San Diego in scoring, averaging 21 ppg on 58.3% shooting from the field. Rahmir Barno follows with 19 ppg on 53.8% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 4 assists per game. Treysen Eaglestaff follows with 16 ppg on 66.7% shooting from the field. Dimitrije Vukicevic leads the team in rebounds with 7 per game.
Fresno State Bulldogs Preview
The Fresno State Bulldogs have a 1-0 overall record and a 0-0 road record. They are coming off a 88-79 home win against Fresno Pacific and will face Georgia State and UC Riverside next.
Offensively, they are averaging 88 points per game (ranking 119th in the nation), while allowing 79 points per game defensively (264th). They have a 114.9 offensive rating (ranking 159th) and a 103.1 defensive rating (218th). The Bulldogs are shooting 55.9% from the field (ranking 35th in the nation) and 35.7% from beyond the arc (131st), while grabbing 39 rebounds per game (165th in the nation) and averaging 14 assists per game (203rd). They have 5 blocks per game (90th in the nation) and 6 steals per game (235th).
Dragos Lungu leads Fresno State in scoring, averaging 30 ppg on 63.2% shooting from the field. Ross Candelino follows with 17 ppg on 36.4% shooting from the field. Roger Fabrega Urpina follows with 15 ppg on 71.4% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 5 assists per game. Dragos Lungu leads the team in rebounds with 8 per game.
Fresno State Bulldogs @ UC San Diego Tritons Betting Trends: November 7, 2026
Why the UC San Diego Tritons will win
- UC San Diego has won each of its last six games at LionTree Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Fresno State has lost nine of its last 10 road games following a home win.
- UC San Diego has won the first half in five of its last six games at LionTree Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Fresno State’s last nine Saturday games against the Big West Conference have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.
- Thirteen of UC San Diego’s last 15 games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- UC San Diego ranks T24th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (8.0).
- UC San Diego ranks T26th among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (36.0).
- Fresno State ranks T24th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (55.9%).
- Fresno State ranks T28th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (4.0).