Fresno State vs San Jose State Prediction 3/8/25 College Basketball Picks

The Fresno State Bulldogs are visiting the San Jose State Spartans on Saturday, March 8th at the Provident Credit Union Event Center, in this Mountain West Conference matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Jose State Spartans Prediction. We will examine:

The San Jose State Spartans’ recent form and player performance

The Fresno State Bulldogs’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Jose State Spartans

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Fresno State Bulldogs

Recent betting trends in games played between the Fresno State Bulldogs and San Jose State Spartans

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Fresno State Bulldogs vs Xavier Musketeers game

San Jose State Spartans Preview

The San Jose State Spartans have a 13-18 record this season and are sitting in 8th place in the Mountain West. San Jose is coming off a 56-83 loss to Colorado State. The Spartans are 19-9-1 against the spread, and 18-10-1 in over/under, while having a 6-8 home record.

Offensively, San Jose State is averaging 72.4 points per game, which ranks 226th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 74.3 points per game (256th). The Spartans shoot 44.6% from the field (197th) and 34.7% from beyond the arc (148th). The Spartans shoot 73.2% from the free-throw line (137th) and are grabbing 33.7 rebounds per game (270th).

Josh Uduje leads San Jose State in scoring with an average of 16.6 points and 4.4 rebounds, while Will McClendon adds 12 points, 3.3 rebounds, and 2.8 assists per game.

Fresno State Bulldogs Preview

The Fresno State Bulldogs have a 6-24 record this season and are tied with Air Force in the last place in the Mountain West. The Bulldogs are coming off a 62-58 win over Wyoming. The Bulldogs are 17-11-2 against the spread, and 17-13 in over/under while having a 1-13 road record.

Offensively, Fresno State is averaging 70.8 points per game, which ranks 266th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 80.1 points per game (348th). The Bulldogs shoot 40.6% from the field (353rd) and 31.6% from beyond the arc (308th). The Bulldogs shoot 69.6% from the free-throw line (270th) and are grabbing 35.1 rebounds per game (193rd).

Jalen Weaver leads Fresno State in scoring, with an average of 12.5 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Zaon Collins adds 12.1 points, 4.1 rebounds, and a team-high 4.6 assists per game.

Why the San Jose State Spartans will win

• Fresno State has lost each of its last nine day games.
• San Jose State has won each of its last four day games at Provident Credit Union Event Center following a road loss.
• Fresno State has lost the first half in 12 of its last 14 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

• Fresno State has won 14 of its last 16 games against San Jose State.
• San Jose State has lost six of its last seven games.
• San Jose State has lost the first half in each of its last four games against the Mountain West Conference.

Total Points Facts

• Nine of the last 10 games between Fresno State and San Jose State at Provident Credit Union Event Center have produced a total of 138 or fewer points.
• Nine of Fresno State’s last 10 games at Provident Credit Union Event Center have produced a total of 138 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• San Jose State ranks T42nd among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (11.4).
• Fresno State ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (40.9).
• Fresno State ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (17.2).

Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Jose State Spartans Prediction

Fresno State is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against San Jose State and is 6-2-2 against the spread. Over is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, San Jose State won 94-91 in overtime on the road, as the game went over the point total.

In this Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Jose State Spartans Prediction, San Jose State is coming as a -6.5 home favorites. San Jose State is rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season, but they have been below average on the road. Fresno State has been struggling mightily on the road, with just one win in their 14 road games this season. Both teams have something to play for in this final game of the regular season, as they are looking for the best placement possible for the upcoming conference tournament. The Spartans are 1-6 in their last 7 games and 1-4 against the spread, while the Bulldogs are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games. Given both teams’ current form, the value here lies with the road dog. Take the Fresno State Bulldogs and lay the plus points on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs +6.5