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Fort Wayne vs Youngstown State Prediction 3/6/25 College Basketball Picks

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Youngstown State (19-12) vs IPFW (19-12)

March 6, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Youngstown State -2.5 — Over/Under: 155.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Fort Wayne vs Youngstown State Prediction for this college basketball game on Thursday, March 6th, at the Beeghly Center. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Mastodons’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Penguins’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Fort Wayne

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Youngstown State

-Recent betting trends in games played between Fort Wayne and Youngstown State

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Mastodons and Penguins. 

This matchup is a Horizon League Tournament game. Youngstown State is the fourth seed, while Fort Wayne is the 5th seed. The home team has won the last four games played between the two teams. When these two teams faced off in February, Youngstown State secured the 93-71. 

Fort Wayne Is Ice Cold

Fort Wayne is ice-cold heading into this game, and they have lost two games in a row. Two games ago against Northern Kentucky, they lost 79-74, and in the last game against Cleveland State, they were knocked off 68-57. They were down 31-24 at halftime, and in the second half, it got even worse. The only real bright offensive spot was Rasheed Bello, who scored 20 points, two rebounds, and one assist. Fort Wayne needs to use a more balanced attack to achieve success in this game. 

PFW has a 19-12 record overall, and they have gone 17-12 against the spread. Fort Wayne averages 81.2 points, while their defense gives up 74.7 points per game. They want to push the pace, but the defense has really let them down at times. They can’t let the defense let them down again in this game. Guard Jalen Jackson is averaging 19.2 points while shooting 48.9 percent from the field and 27.6 percent from deep. 

Why Fort Wayne Will Beat Youngstown State

  • Purdue Fort Wayne has won each of its last seven night games following a road loss.
  • Youngstown State has lost four of its last five Conference Tournament games.
  • Youngstown State has lost the first half in 13 of its last 14 Conference Tournament games.

Youngstown State Has Issues

Youngstown State has some significant issues heading into this game, and the defense let them down in the last game. Youngstown State scored 79 points against Northern Kentucky, but the defense gave up 88 points, leading to the defeat. Juwan Maxey and Ty Harper both helped pace the offense. Maxey put up 26 points, one rebound, and one assist, while Harper added another 21 points, five assists, and three rebounds. They weren’t dominant two games ago against Green Bay, but they still ended up winning 81-77. 

Youngstown State sits with a 19-12 record overall, and they have gone 14-14-1 against the spread. The Penguins are averaging 77.2 points, while their defense is giving up 72.1 points per game. They like to push the pace, and the defense has sometimes really let them down. They can’t let Fort Wayne run up the score against them in this game. EJ Farmer has been the top player, averaging 15.1 points, 4.1 rebounds, and 1.2 assists per game. 

Why Youngstown State Will Beat Fort Wayne

  • Youngstown State has won each of its last six night games at Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center following a road loss.
  • Purdue Fort Wayne has lost four of its last five games.
  • The home team has won the first half in each of Purdue Fort Wayne’s last eight games.

Fort Wayne vs Youngstown State Prediction

There is going to be no shortage of scoring in this game. Youngstown State is averaging 77.2 points per game, and they already know how to run up the score against Fort Wayne. Fort Wayne is averaging 81.7 points, and they will also put on an offensive show. Both teams have used a balanced attack all season, and there is no reason to believe they can’t use that again here. The over is 8-1 in Youngstown State’s last nine games. The over is 5-0 in PFW’s last five games against a team with a winning straight-up record. The trends are strong, and they will continue here. Back the over. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Over

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