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Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction 2/21/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Feb 17, 2026; Gainesville, Florida, USA; Florida Gators center Micah Handlogten (3) posts up against South Carolina Gamecocks forward Elijah Strong (31) during the first half at Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center. Mandatory Credit: Matt Pendleton-Imagn Images

Feb 17, 2026; Gainesville, Florida, USA; Florida Gators center Micah Handlogten (3) posts up against South Carolina Gamecocks forward Elijah Strong (31) during the first half at Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center. Mandatory Credit: Matt Pendleton-Imagn Images

MATCHUP Florida Gators Ole Miss Rebels
Team Records 20-6 11-15
Spread -12.5 -110 +12.5 -110
Moneyline -950 +625
Total Over 147.5 (-110) Under 147.5 (-110)
Where The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss, Oxford, MS
When Saturday, February 21, 2026
Time 12:00 PM EST
TV ESPN

The Florida Gators and the Ole Miss Rebels will meet on Saturday afternoon in an SEC matchup at the Sandy and John Black Pavilion in Oxford, Mississippi.

Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview

The Ole Miss Rebels enter Saturday’s contest with an 11–15 overall record, including a 3–10 mark in conference play and a 7-5 record at home. The Rebels have compiled wins over Mississippi State, Saint Johns, Georgia and Missouri, while dropping recent games to Texas A&M, Alabama, Texas and the Kentucky Wildcats.

Last month, in the Ole Miss Rebels 68-67 victory over the Mississippi State Bulldogs, Ole Miss guard Ilias Kamardine tallied 17 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists demonstrating his ability to lead the Ole Miss Rebels backcourt.

The Ole Miss Rebels are averaging 74.2 points on 43.9 percent shooting from the field and 33.6 percent shooting from three-point range per game. Shifting our focus to the defensive side of the basketball, the Rebels are allowing opponents 73.9 points per contest.

Senior guard Allen Storr leads the Ole Miss Rebels averaging 14.8 points, 3.4 rebounds, 1.9 assists and 1 steal per game, while senior forward Malik Dia contributes 13.5 points, 6.0 rebounds and 1 block per contest.

Florida Gators Betting Preview

The Florida Gators enter Saturday afternoon’s game with a 20–6 overall record, including a rather impressive 11–2 mark in conference play and an 5-2 record on the road. The Gators have amassed wins over Miami, Florida State, North Florida, Merrimack and the Georgia Bulldogs while dropping games Arizona, Missouri and the Duke Blue Devils. Earlier this season, in the Florida Gators 82-68 win over the Miami Hurricanes, Florida forward Malik Reneau compiled 22 points, 11 rebounds and 2 blocks showcasing his ability to lead the Gators frontcourt. 

Florida is averaging 86.1 points (18th in country) on 46.9 percent shooting from the field and 29.4 percent shooting from beyond the arc per game. Defensively, the Gators are allowing opponents 71.1 points per contest. In my view, Florida’s size, rebounding and quality defense have been the key factors to the team’s overall success in 2025.

Sophomore guard Boogie Fland is averaging 11.1 points, 2.5 rebounds, 3.6 assists and 2 steals per game. Junior forward Thomas Haugh contributes 17.2 points, 6.1 rebounds, 2 assists and 1 steal a contest. Junior center Rueben Chinyelu provides the Gators with further frontcourt depth averaging 11.8 points, 12 rebounds and 1 block per contest, while senior guard Xaivian Lee is averaging with 11.3 points, 3.7 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game.

Why the Ole Miss Rebels Will Win

• Guard play. Senior guard Allen Storr leads the Ole Miss Rebels backcourt with 14.8 points per game, giving Ole Miss a reliable scoring option.

• Home court edge. The Ole Miss Rebels have amassed a 7-5 record at home this season.

• Enhanced motivation. The Rebels enter tomorrow afternoon’s contest on the heels of an eight‑game losing streak.

Why the Florida Gators Will Win

• Defensive edge: The Florida Gators are allowing opponents 71.1 points per game. Conversely, the Rebels are allowing opponents 73.9 points per contest.

• Balanced scoring: The Gators have five players scoring over 11 points a game.

• Momentum. The Florida Gators arrive at tomorrow’s contest on a six-game winning streak.

• Ability to win on the road. The Gators are 5-2 on the road in 2025.

Florida Gators vs. Ole Miss Rebels Prediction

This matchup features Florida’s elite interior presence and balanced offense against an Ole Miss team that has struggled to generate consistency on both ends of the floor all season. Florida’s rebounding advantage, scoring balance and defensive efficiency give them a clear statistical edge, while the Rebels recent eight‑game skid and defensive issues make them difficult to trust against a Gators team that has played exceptionally well on the road in 2025. With that said, I am backing the Florida Gators to cover the 11.5 points in this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Florida -11.5

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