| MATCHUP | Florida Gators | Kentucky Wildcats |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 25-6 | 19-12 |
| Where | Rupp Arena, Lexington, KY | |
| When | Saturday, March 7, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
Florida Gators Betting Preview
The Florida Gators beat Arkansas and Mississippi State. Florida has won 10 straight games.
The Florida Gators are averaging 87.8 points on 8.2 percent shooting and allowing 71.5 points on 40.7 percent shooting. Thomas Haugh is averaging 17.1 points and 6 rebounds, while Alex Condon is averaging 14.8 points and 7.7 rebounds. Xaivian Lee is the third double-digit scorer and Boogie Fland is grabbing 2.6 rebounds. The Florida Gators are shooting 30.9 percent from beyond the arc and 71.2 percent from the free throw line. The Florida Gators are allowing 32.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.7 rebounds per game.
Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview
The Kentucky Wildcats beat Vanderbilt and lost to Texas A&M. Kentucky has lost 4 of its last 6 games.
The Kentucky Wildcats are averaging 81.4 points on 46.8 percent shooting and allowing 73.4 points on 42.1 percent shooting. Otega Oweh is averaging 17.9 points and 4.5 rebounds, while Denzel Aberdeen is averaging 12.8 points and 2.5 rebounds. Collin Chandler is the third double-digit scorer and Mouhamed Dioubate is grabbing 5.5 rebounds. The Kentucky Wildcats are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 72.1 percent from the free throw line. The Kentucky Wildcats are allowing 31.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.6 rebounds per game.
Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win
- Kentucky has won 35 of its last 38 day games against conference opponents at Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center.
- Florida has lost three of its last four games at Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center.
- The home team has won the first half in each of the last six games between Florida and Kentucky.
Why the Florida Gators will win
- Florida has won each of its last 11 March games as a top-15 AP-ranked team.
- Kentucky has lost each of its last four games against top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
- Florida has won the first half in 17 of its last 18 March games as a top-15 AP-ranked team.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Kentucky’s last eight games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 166+ points.
- Thirteen of Florida’s last 16 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 152 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Kentucky ranks T48th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (4.3).
- Kentucky ranks 50th among Division 1 teams for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.51).
- Florida ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (45.7).
- Florida ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (59.6%).
Florida vs Kentucky Prediction
Kentucky and the points at home are always appealing, given Rupp is a tough place to play. However, we’ve seen Kentucky come up short in its biggest games all season. I don’t trust Kentucky against good teams. Florida is also one of the hottest teams in the country, posting a 10-0 SU and 8-2 ATS record in its last 10 games. Florida is catching fire at the right time and looks like a team that can defend its title. I’m not stepping in front of the Gators. I’ll lay the points with Florida.