Florida State vs Notre Dame Prediction 2/7/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Florida State Seminoles and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish meet Saturday in college basketball action from the McKale Memorial Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Florida State Seminoles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish prediction.

Florida State Seminoles Recap

The Florida State Seminoles come into this game looking to build on their 88-80 win over Stanford last time out to sit at 10-12 this season. After this game, Florida State will head on the road for a game against Virginia.

Seminoles Win Back-To-Back Games

Robert McCray V leads the Seminoles in scoring and assists with 14.4 PPG and 6.4 APG along with 3.6 RPG while Chauncey Wiggins has 12.5 PPG and 4 RPG. Lajae Jones has 11.3 PPG with 5.6 RPG and Koba MaGee has 10 PPG with 3.3 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Florida State up to this point in the year. Martin Somerville has 8.9 PPG with 3 RPG and Alex Steen also has 7.2 PPG with a team-high 5.8 RPG to lead the Seminoles in rebounding this season. As a team, Florida State is averaging 80.8 PPG on 42.5% shooting from the field, 31.2% from three and 71.2% from the foul line this season.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Recap

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish come into this game looking to shake off a 76-65 loss to Louisville last time out to sit at 11-12 this season. After this game, Notre Dame wil head on the road for a game against SMU.

Fighting Irish Lose 3 Straight & 8 Of Last 9

Markus Burton leads the Irish in scoring with 18.5 PPG while Braeden Shrewsberry has 11.6 PPG with 2.8 RPG. Jalen Haralson has 15.2 PPG with 3.7 RPG and 2.7 APG and Cole Certa has 10.5 PPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Notre Dame so far this season. Carson Towt’s added a team-high 9.6 RPG to lead the Irish in rebounding so far this season. As a team, Notre Dame is averaging 73.6 PPG on 44.7% shooting from the field, 35.4% from three and 69.1% from the foul line this season.

Florida State Seminoles @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Trends: February 7, 2026

Why the Notre Dame Fighting Irish will win

• Florida State has lost each of its last 10 Saturday road games against Conference opponents.
• Notre Dame has won seven of its last eight home games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The home team has won the first half in five of Florida State’s last six games.

Why the Florida State Seminoles will win

• Notre Dame has lost eight of its last nine games.
• Florida State has won eight of its last nine games against Notre Dame.
• Notre Dame has lost the first half in five of its last six games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Notre Dame’s last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Purcell Pavilion at the Joyce Center have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
• Each of Florida State’s last five day games have produced a total of 154+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Notre Dame ranks 360th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (4.5).
• Florida State ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (32.8).
• Florida State is one of only six teams to reach the Sweet 16 in each of its last three NCAA Tournament appearances.

Florida State Seminoles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction

I’m on Notre Dame here. I think for me Notre Dame is the lesser of two evils in this spot, as the Irish are at least at home, and have been what I expected them to be in fairness. Florida State has disappointed more often than not this year and I think this is another spot where that could happen. Give me the Irish.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Notre Dame -2.5