Florida State vs Duke Prediction 3/12/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Chris Ruffolo

7 hours ago

Mar 7, 2026; Durham, North Carolina, USA; Duke Blue Devils forward Cameron Boozer (12) looks to shoot as North Carolina Tar Heels center Henri Veesaar (13) defends during the second half at Cameron Indoor Stadium. The Duke Blue Devils won 76-61. Mandatory Credit: Rob Kinnan-Imagn Images

MATCHUP	Florida State Seminoles	Duke Blue Devils
Team Records	18-14	29-2
Spread	+16.5 -108	-16.5 -112
Moneyline	+1100	-2100
Total	Over 149.5 (-108)	Under 149.5 (-112)
Where	Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC
When	Thursday, March 12, 2026
Time	07:00 PM EDT
TV	ESPN

The Florida State Seminoles and the Duke Blue Devils meet Thursday in college basketball action from the Spectrum Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Florida State Seminoles vs. Duke Blue Devils prediction.

Florida State Seminoles Recap

The Florida State Seminoles come into this game looking to add on to their 95-89 win over Cal last time out.

Seminoles Looking To Spring Upset

Robert McCray V leads the Seminoles in scoring and assists with 16.1 PPG and 6.1 APG along with 3.8 RPG while Chauncey Wiggins has 13.3 PPG and 3.9 RPG. Lajae Jones has 12.2 PPG with 5.8 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Florida State up to this point in the year. Martin Somerville has 8.1 PPG with 3 RPG and 2.4 APG while Kobe MaGee has 8.2 PPG with 2.9 RPG and Alex Steen also has 7 PPG with a team-high 5.8 RPG to lead the Seminoles in rebounding this season. As a team, Florida State is averaging 80.4 PPG on 43.7% shooting from the field, 32.9% from three and 71.4% from the foul line this season.

Duke Blue Devils Recap

The Duke Blue Devils come into this game as the 1-seed in the ACC tournament and regular season champions, finishing the year at 29-2 overall including 17-1 in ACC play.

Blue Devils Looking For Another ACC Title

Cameron Boozer leads Duke across the board with 22.6 PPG, 10 RPG and 4 APG while Isaiah Evans has 14.6 PPG with 2.9 RPG and Patrick Ngongba II has 10.7 PPG with 6 RPG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Duke up to this point in the year. Caleb Foster has 8.6 PPG with 3.7 RPG and 2.9 APG and Cayden Boozer has 6.4 PPG with 2.8 APG as well this season. As a team, Duke is averaging 83.2 PPG on 49.9% shooting from the field, 35.5% from three and 72.7% from the foul line this season.

Florida State Seminoles @ Duke Blue Devils Betting Trends: March 12, 2026

Why the Duke Blue Devils will win

Duke has won each of its last 30 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Florida State has lost each of its last 13 games against AP-ranked opponents.
Duke has won the first half in each of its last 20 night games as a top-5 AP-ranked team.

Why the Florida State Seminoles will win

Florida State has won seven of its last eight games.
Florida State has won the first half in each of its last four games.

Total Points Facts

Each of Florida State’s last nine night games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
Each of Duke’s last six games at Spectrum Center have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

Duke ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+20.5).
Duke ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (93.5).
Florida State is one of only six teams to reach the Sweet 16 in each of its last three NCAA Tournament appearances.
Florida State ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (31.6).

Florida State Seminoles vs. Duke Blue Devils Prediction

I’m on Florida State and the points here. I think this game means far more to FSU right now, and as solid as Duke is, the Noles kept it close against them earlier this year and I think Florida State keeps it respectable. Give me Florida State and the points.