Fairfield vs Siena Prediction 1/19/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Siena Saints and the Fairfield Stags will meet on Monday afternoon in a MAAC matchup at MVP Arena in Albany, New York.

Siena Saints Betting Preview

The Siena Saints enter Monday’s contest with a 12–7 overall win-loss record, including a 5–3 mark in conference play and a 4-3 record at home. The Saints have compiled wins over Rider, Brown, Holy Cross and the Longwood Lancers, while losing games to Iona, Colgate and the Indiana Hoosiers. Earlier this month, in the Siena Saints 74–65 win over Rider, Siena guard Gavin Doty amassed 19 points (8 of 13 shooting from the field), 7 rebounds, 5 assists and 1 steal illustrating his ability to play at a high level.

The Siena Saints average 70 points on 44.8% shooting from the field and 30.1 percent shooting from behind the arc per game. Shifting our focus to the defensive side of the basketball, the Saints are allowing opponents just 65.1 points per contest which ranks 14th in the nation.  

Freshman guard Francis Folefac has been a standout performer for the Siena Saints averaging 10.7 points, 4.6 rebounds, 1.5 assists, 1 steal and 1.1 blocks per game. Sophomore guard Gavin Doty averages 15.9 points on 45 percent shooting from the field per contest. Forward Tasman Goodrick adds 9.7 points, 7.3 rebounds, 1.3 assists and 1 block per game providing the Saints with a strong interior presence.

Fairfield Stags Betting Preview

The Fairfield Stags enter Monday’s contest with an 11–8 record, including a 3–5 mark in conference play and a 4–6 record on the road. Fairfield has amassed wins over Manhattan, Rider, New Hampshire and the Stonehill Skyhawks, while dropping games to Penn State, Seton Hall, Columbus, Canisius and the Saint Peter’s Peacocks. More recently, in the Fairfield Stags dominant 98-62 victory over the Manhattan Jaspers four days ago, Fairfield guard Tony Williams accumulated 16 points (5 of 8 shooting from the field), 2 rebounds, 4 assists and 1 steal.

The Fairfield Stags are averaging 75.2 points on 42.8 percent shooting from the field and 33.9 percent shooting from three-point range per game. Defensively, the Stags are allowing opponents 74.2 points per contest.

Senior guard Braden Sparks leads the Fairfield Stags averaging 17.4 points, 3.4 rebounds, 2.5 assists and 1 steal per game. Freshman forward Brandon Benjamin averages 13.5 points, 10.2 rebounds, 1.1 assists and 1.1 blocks anchoring the Fairfield Stags frontcourt.  

Why the Siena Saints will win

• Defensive edge. The Siena Saints are allowing opponents 65.1 points per game which ranks 14th in the nation. Conversely, the Fairfield Stags are allowing 74.2 points per contest.

• Home court edge. The Siena Saints are 4-3 at home this season.

• Backcourt play. Freshman guard Francis Folefac has been a standout performer for the Siena Saints averaging 10.6 points, 4.6 rebounds, 1.4 assists, 1.1 steals and 1.1 blocks per game.

Why the Fairfield Stags will win

• Quality guard play. Senior guard Braden Sparks leads the Fairfield Stags backcourt averaging 17.4 points, 3.4 rebounds, 2.5 assists and 1 steal per game

• Offensive advantage. The Fairfield Stags are averaging 75.2 points per game. The Siena Saints are averaging only 70 points per contest.

Siena Saints vs. Fairfield Stags Prediction

This matchup features Siena’s defensive discipline and improving scoring balance against a Fairfield team that leans too heavily on three‑point shooting. Siena’s home floor and defensive consistency give them a path to control tempo, but Fairfield’s perimeter volume and scoring depth present a difficult matchup for a Saints team that has struggled to defend the arc. For the reasons just noted, I am backing the Fairfield Stags in this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Fairfield TBA