Evansville vs Murray State Prediction 3/6/25 College Basketball Picks

The Evansville Aces and the Murray State Racers meet Thursday in college basketball action from the Enterprise Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Evansville vs. Murray State prediction.

Matchup History

These two teams split the two meetings in the regular season with Murray State winning at home on December 3rd, 2024, by a final score of 63-61 while Evansville won the rematch at home by a score of 78-74 on January 29th, 2025. The win for Evansville snapped Murray State’s five-game head-to-head win streak in this matchup.

Evansville Recap

The Evansville Aces come into the conference tournament as the 10-seed, finishing 10-20 overall this season, including an 8-12 mark in MVC conference play.

Aces Looking To Pull Off Upset

Tayshawn Comer leads the Purple Aces in scoring with 16 PPG and in assists with 4.1 APG along with 3.7 RPG while Gabriel Pozzato has 15.3 PPG with 4.4 RPG so far this season. Cam Haffner has 12.7 PPG with 3.6 RPG, capping off the trio of double-digit scorers for Evansville up to this point in the year. Tanner Cuff has 9 PPG with Cuff logging a team-high 6.3 RPG and 3.3 APG to lead the Aces in rebounding. Joshua Hughes also has 7.3 PPG and 5.1 RPG while Connor Turnbull has 8.9 PPG with 4.3 RPG on the year. As a team, Evansville is averaging 66.5 PPG on 43.5% shooting from the field, 30.5% from three and 69.6% from the foul line this season.

Why the Evansville Purple Aces will win

• Murray State has lost four of its last five games against the Missouri Valley Conference at neutral venues.

Murray State Recap

The Murray State Racers come into the conference tournament as the 7-seed, finishing the year with an overall record of 15-16, including a 9-11 mark in MVC conference play.

Racers Looking To Forge Ahead In MVC Tournament

JaCobi Wood leads the Racers in scoring and assists with 13.5 PPG and 4.8 APG along with 3.8 RPG while Kylen Milton has 10.6 PPG with 4.2 RPG. AJ Ferguson’s added 11.5 PPG with a team-high 5.7 RPG to lead the Racers on the glass while Terence Harcum’s chipped in 11.9 PPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Murray State up to this point in the year. Nick Ellington has 9.7 PPG with 5.1 RPG while KyeRon Lindsay also has 6.8 PPG with 4.4 RPG of his own as well this season. As a team, Murray State is averaging 72.1 PPG on 43.5% shooting from the field, 34.1% from three and 72.4% from the foul line so far this season.

Why the Murray State Racers will win

• Evansville has lost eight of its last nine games at Enterprise Center.
• Murray State has won five of its last six games against Evansville.

Total Points Facts

• Twenty-two of Murray State’s last 25 night games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 130+ points.
• Forty-two of Evansville’s last 52 night games have produced a total of 130+ points.

Evansville vs. Murray State Prediction

I’m on Evansville in this game. I get why Murray State would be favored in this matchup, but Evansville for me made a lot of strides throughout conference play for a team I didn’t have much hope for coming into the season. The Aces managed to remain competitive down the stretch, and my concern for Murray State has always been that I feel that the Racers lean too heavily on their defense to get by for this team to cover big numbers. I think that Evansville is live in this game so give me the Aces and the points here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Evansville +5.5