East Tennessee State vs Dayton Prediction 12/2/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Chris Ruffolo

2 hours ago

Nov 28, 2025; Kissimmee, FL, USA; Dayton Flyers guard Javon Bennett (0) reacts after a basket against the Brigham Young University Cougars in the first half during the ESPN Events Invitational at State Farm Field House. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

MATCHUP	East Tennessee State Buccaneers	Dayton Flyers
Team Records	6-1	6-2
Spread	+11.5 -108	-11.5 -112
Moneyline	+500	-700
Total	Over 141.5 (-105)	Under 141.5 (-115)
Where	UD Arena, Dayton, OH
When	Tuesday, December 2, 2025
Time	07:00 PM EST
TV	ESPN+

The East Tennessee State Buccaneers and the Dayton Flyers meet Tuesday in college basketball action from the UD Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Dayton Flyers prediction.

East Tennessee State Buccaneers Recap

The East Tennessee State Buccaneers come into this game looking to add on to their 80-57 win over Central Arkansas last time out to sit at 6-1 this season. After this game, East Tennessee State will head hoe for a game against South Alabama.

Buccaneers Win 5 In A Row

Brian Taylor II leads the Buccaneers in scoring and rebounding with 14.6 PPG and 5.1 RPG along with 3 APG while Cam Morris has 14.4 PPG with 3 RPG this season. Jaylen Smith has 11.4 PPG with 3.6 RPG and 3.1 APG along with 2.3 SPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for ETSU so far this season. Jordan McCullum has 9.9 PPG with 5.1 RPG while Blake Barkley has 9.6 PPG with 3.9 RPG as well this season. Allen Strothers has 3.7 APG to lead the Buccaneers in assists up to this point in the year. As a team, East Tennessee State is averaging 81.9 PPG on 50.4% shooting from the field, 32.5% from three and 69.4% from the foul line this season.

Dayton Flyers Recap

The Dayton Flyers come into this game looking to bounce back from their 83-79 loss at the hands of BYU last time out to sit at 6-2 on the year. After this game, Dayton will head on the road for a game against Virginia.

Flyers Have Four-Game Win Streak Snapped

Javon Bennett leads the Flyers in scoring and assists with 16.9 PPG and 3.8 APG along with 2.3 RPG while De’Shayne Montgomery has 14.4 PPG with 5.1 RPG and 3 APG along with 2.5 SPG. Amael L’Etang has 13.4 PPG along with 6.8 RPG to lead Dayton in rebounding and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Dayton so far this season. Keonte Jones also has 8 PPG with 5 RPG as well up to this point in the year. As a team, Dayton is averaging 79 PPG on 46.1% shooting from the field, 34.2% from three and 71.2% from the foul line this season.

East Tennessee State Buccaneers @ Dayton Flyers Betting Trends: December 2, 2025

Why the Dayton Flyers will win

Dayton has won each of its last 29 games against non-Conference opponents at University of Dayton Arena.
East Tennessee State has lost nine of its last 10 road night games against non-Conference opponents.
Dayton has won the first half in seven of its last eight games.

Why the East Tennessee State Buccaneers will win

East Tennessee State has won each of its last five games.
East Tennessee State has won the first half in each of its last four night games.

Total Points Facts

Each of Dayton’s last four night games have produced a total of 148+ points.
Six of East Tennessee State’s last seven night games have produced a total of 139 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

Dayton ranks 22nd among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (16.8).
Dayton ranks T34th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (26.9).
East Tennessee State ranks T8th among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (61.3).
East Tennessee State ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (10.9).

East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Dayton Flyers Prediction

I’m on Dayton here. I just think that Dayton is the better team here and Dayton is the more proven program. East Tennessee has not had many step up spots so far this season as they’ve been favored in a lot of situations so in this spot, I think Dayton dishes out a bit of a reality check here so give me Dayton laying the points.