Denver vs St. Thomas – Minnesota Prediction 3/6/25 College Basketball Picks

The Denver Pioneers and St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies meet on Thursday in college basketball action at Denny Sanford Premier Center. Here’s a Denver vs St. Thomas-Minnesota prediction. This article will include a Denver vs St. Thomas-Minnesota Pick.

Denver Pioneers Betting Preview

The Denver Pioneers (11-20, 16-12 ATS) won three of the last five games and finished the regular season in 7th place in the Summit Standings. They had the same record as North Dakota but the Fighting Hawks were better in H2H duels and got the No. 6 seed. Denver defeated North Dakota, Oral Roberts, and South Dakota State to close out the season.

Denver averages 72.7 PPG (228th) and allows 77.5 PPG (321st). The Pioneers are 422nd in rebounds (31.0) and 377th in assists (11.6). DeAndre Craig leads the team with 13.5 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 2.8 APG, and a team-high 1.3 SPG. Nicholas Shogbonyo follows him with 12.8 PPG and 4.6 RPG, while Sebastian Akins has 12.8 PPG, 2.2 RPG, and 2.7 APG.

St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies Betting Preview

The St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies (22-9, 15-13 ATS) recorded seven wins in the previous ten games to finish the regular season 2nd in the Summit Standings, with just a win behind the No. 1 seed Omaha. St. Thomas got revenge for a loss to Omaha earlier in the season with a 95-84 home victory, and after a couple of road defeats to South Dakota and Oral Roberts, the Tommies beat North Dakota and UMKC at home.

St. Thomas-Minnesota is averaging 83.5 PPG (15th) and is allowing 75.1 PPG (278th). The Tommies are getting 31.6 RPG (394th) and dish out 15.6 APG (71st). Miles Barnstable is the team’s top scorer with 14.7 PPG, 3.1 RPG, and 1.0 SPG. Kendall Blue adds 12.0 PPG, a team-high 4.5 RPG, 2.4 APG, and 1.0 SPG, while Drake Dobbs contributes 11.7 PPG, 2.7 RPG, and a team-high 3.6 APG. 

Why Denver will cover

• Denver has won three of its last four night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Matchup/League Facts

• St. Thomas (MN) ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (49.4%).
• St. Thomas (MN) ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.1).
• Denver ranks 23rd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (53.6).
• Denver ranks T44th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (19.9).

Denver vs St. Thomas-Minnesota Prediction

St. Thomas-Minnesota did win five of the previous six H2H encounters, including both meetings this season, but Denver wasn’t all bad and managed to cover both. The Pioneers covered three of the last four H2Hs and are 16-12 ATS this season, which is a bit optimistic for them in this Summit League Championship quarterfinals tilt. I don’t think Denver can upset St. Thomas and advance to the semis, but I do believe they will put up a fight and cover the spread. Denver has covered the Spread in 19 of its last 31 games.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Denver +10.5