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Dayton vs VCU Prediction 3/7/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

VCU (25-5) vs Dayton (21-9)

March 7, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: VCU -8.5 — Over/Under: 142.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Dayton Flyers and the VCU Rams meet Friday in college basketball action from the Siegel Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Dayton vs. VCU prediction.

Matchup History

VCU won the first meeting between these two teams this season by a final score of 73-68 back on February 7th, 2025 at Dayton, making it 7 wins in the last 10 head-to-head meetings for VCU in this matchup.

Dayton Recap

The Dayton Flyers come into this game looking to add on to their 75-67 win over Saint Louis last time out to sit at 21-9 overall this season.

Flyers Win Three Straight & 7 Of Last 9

Nate Santos leads the Flyers in scoring with 14.2 PPG along with 5.3 RPG while Enoch Cheeks has 13.4 PPG with a team-high 6.4 RPG to lead the Flyers on the glass so far this season. Malachi Smith has 10.3 PPG with a team-high 5.2 APG to lead the Flyers in assists and Javon Bennett’s also chipped in 10.4 PPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Dayton up to this point in the year. Zed Key has 9.4 PPG with 3.8 RPG and Amael L’Etang has 7.1 PPG with 4.5 RPG and Posh Alexander has added 6.1 PPG with 2.3 RPG and 2.4 APG as well on the year. As a team, Dayton is averaging 75.3 PPG on 46% shooting from the field, 35.6% from three and 74.4% from the foul line this season.

Why the Dayton Flyers will win

  • Dayton has won five of its last six games.

VCU Recap

The VCU Rams come into this game looking to add on to their 71-62 win over Duquesne last time out to improve to 25-5 on the year.

Rams Win 9th In A Row

Max Shulga leads the Rams in scoring and assists with 15.5 PPG and 3.8 APG along with 5.8 RPG and 1.9 SPG while Joe Bamisile has 15.2 PPG with 5.2 RPG. Zeb Jackson has 10.4 PPG with 3.7 RPG and Phillip Russell has added 10.9 PPG with 2.3 APG to cap off the scoring in double figures for VCU while Jack Clark’s added 9 PPG and 6.9 RPG to lead VCU on the glass so far this season. As a team, VCU is averaging 78 PPG on 45.1% shooting from the field, 34.5% from three and 74.1% from the foul line this season.

Why the VCU Rams will win

  • VCU has won each of its last 15 games at Stuart C. Siegel Center.
  • Dayton has lost three of its last four games following a home win.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the last six games between Dayton and VCU at Stuart C. Siegel Center have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
  • Each of Dayton’s last four night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Stuart C. Siegel Center have produced a total of 134 or fewer points.

Dayton vs. VCU Prediction

I’m on the over in this game. VCU has been able to do a lot of their best work at home this season and the Siegel Center has been the most friendly of confines for the Rams this season. On the other side, the Flyers are in fine form themselves and have not been afraid to go toe-to-toe with anyone in A-10 play so far this season. I think this is going to end up being a higher-scoring matchup and in the end, I think the over comes through with ease. Give me the over here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 142.5

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