Dayton vs St. Louis Prediction 3/14/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Saint Louis Billikens and the Dayton Flyers meet Saturday in college basketball action from the PPG Paints Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Saint Louis Billikens vs. Dayton Flyers prediction.

Saint Louis Billikens Recap

The Saint Louis Billikens come into this game looking to add on to their 88-81 win over George Washington last time out.

Billikens Looking For First Conference Tournament Title Since 2019

Robbie Avila leads the Billikens in scoring with 13 PPG along with a team-high 4.2 APG and 4.5 RPG while Dion Brown has 11 PPG with a team-high 5.7 RPG to lead the Billikens in rebounding. Amari McCottry has 10.2 PPG with 5.3 RPG and 2.9 APG. Trey Green has 11.4 PPG with 2.9 RPG and Quentin Jones has 10 PPG with 4.1 RPG and 3 APG to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Billikens this season. Kellen Thames has 9.9 PPG with 5 RPG and Ishan Sharma has 9.3 PPG with 2.7 RPG. As a team, Saint Louis is averaging 89.2 PPG on 51.4% shooting from the field, 40.9% from three and 73.8% from the foul line this season.

Dayton Flyers Recap

The Dayton Flyers come into this game looking to add on to their 68-63 win over St. Bonaventure last time out.

Flyers Still Searching For Second Tournament Berth In Last Three Years

Javon Bennett leads the Flyers in scoring and assists with 15.9 PPG and 3 APG while De’Shayne Montgomery has 14 PPG with 4 RPG and 2.3 APG along with 2.3 SPG. Amael L’Etang has 12.3 PPG along with 5.8 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Dayton so far this season. Keonte Jones also has 8 PPG with a team-high 5.4 RPG as well to lead Dayton in rebounding up to this point in the year. As a team, Dayton is averaging 75.1 PPG on 45.3% shooting from the field, 33.9% from three and 75.1% from the foul line this season.

Dayton Flyers @ Saint Louis Billikens Betting Trends: March 14, 2026

Why the Saint Louis Billikens will win

• Saint Louis has won eight of its last nine day games.
• Dayton has lost three of its last four Conference Tournament games.
• Saint Louis has won the first half in eight of its last 10 day games.

Why the Dayton Flyers will win

• Dayton has won eight of its last nine day games against Conference opponents.
• Saint Louis has lost each of its last five Saturday games played at neutral venues.
• Dayton has won the first half in seven of its last eight games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Dayton’s last nine Conference Tournament games have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
• Twenty-six of the last 29 games between Dayton and Saint Louis have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Saint Louis ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (37.9%).
• Saint Louis has recorded the equal-longest winning streak among Division 1 teams this season (18 games).
• Dayton ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (14.9).
• Dayton ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist to turnover ratio this season (0.83).

Saint Louis Billikens vs. Dayton Flyers Prediction

I’m on the Flyers here. So far we’ve seen Saint Louis be a little bit shaky in a lot of their recent games away from home, whether it be true road games or neutral site games. Saint Louis is a solid team, but Dayton’s playing some of their best basketball of the season right now and being fully honest, I didn’t love what I saw from Saint Louis in that game against GW and I think Dayton knows what they have to do from the jump here. Give me Dayton and the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Dayton +5.5