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Dayton vs Richmond Prediction 3/3/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Nov 28, 2025; Kissimmee, FL, USA; Brigham Young University Cougars guard Robert Wright III (1) is guarded by Dayton Flyers guard De'Shayne Montgomery (2) in the second half during the ESPN Events Invitational at State Farm Field House. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

Nov 28, 2025; Kissimmee, FL, USA; Brigham Young University Cougars guard Robert Wright III (1) is guarded by Dayton Flyers guard De'Shayne Montgomery (2) in the second half during the ESPN Events Invitational at State Farm Field House. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

MATCHUP Dayton Flyers Richmond Spiders
Team Records 20-9 15-14
Spread -5.5 -115 +5.5 -105
Moneyline -245 +200
Total Over 144.5 (-110) Under 144.5 (-110)
Where Robins Center, Richmond, VA
When Tuesday, March 3, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article, we will formulate a Dayton vs Richmond Prediction for this college basketball game on Tuesday, March 3rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Richmond Spiders Preview

The Richmond Spiders have a 15-14 overall record and a 5-11 record in the A-10. They are coming off a 69-66 road loss against Loyola Chicago and their previous three games were a 99-94 home win against St. Bonaventure, a 65-63 road loss against Davidson and a 78-67 home loss against VCU.

Offensively, Richmond averages 77.6 points per game, while allowing 74 points per game defensively. The Spiders shoot with 45% from the field and grab 33.9 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.4 assists per game. They average 2.4 blocks per game and 7.2 steals per game defensively.

AJ Lopez leads Richmond in scoring, with an average of 13.5 points per game, while shooting with 47.2% from the field and 86% from the free throw line. Mike Walz is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.6 per game. Will Johnston leads the team in assists with 2.3 per game.

Dayton Flyers Preview

The Dayton Flyers have a 20-9 overall record and an 11-5 record in the A-10. They are coming off a 68-66 road win against George Washington and their previous three games were a 77-62 home win against Saint Louis, a 78-66 home win against Duquesne and an 82-67 road win against George Mason.

Offensively, Dayton averages 75.9 points per game, while allowing 70.6 points per game defensively. The Flyers shoot with 45% from the field and grab 32.5 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.5 assists per game. They average 4.2 blocks per game and 8.9 steals per game defensively.

Javon Bennett leads Dayton in scoring, with an average of 16.2 points per game, while shooting with 38.8% from the field and 90.2% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 3.1 assists. Amaël L’Etang is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.9 per game.

Dayton Flyers @ Richmond Spiders Betting Trends: March 3, 2026

Why the Richmond Spiders will win

Why the Dayton Flyers will win

Total Points Facts

Dayton vs Richmond Prediction  

In this Dayton vs Richmond Prediction, Dayton is coming as -5.5 road favorites. Dayton has been the better team this season and have been in excellent form lately with five consecutive wins. On the flip side, Richmond is struggling mightily with a 2-8 record in its last 10 games and have been struggling against Dayton historically, as they are 3-7 in their last 10 head-to-head matches. Take Dayton to get the job done on the road and cover the points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Dayton -5.5

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