Dayton vs Florida Atlantic Prediction 3/19/25 College Basketball Picks

The Dayton Flyers and the FAU Owls meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the Baldwin Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Dayton vs. FAU prediction.

Dayton Recap

The Dayton Flyers come into the NIT on behalf of the A-10, finishing the year with an overall record of 22-10 including a 12-6 mark in A-10 conference play. Dayton’s stay in the conference tournament was short-lived, as the Flyers fell short against Saint Joseph’s as the 3-seed in the conference tournament quarterfinals.

Flyers Making First NIT Appearance Since 2022

Nate Santos leads the Flyers in scoring with 14.1 PPG along with 5.3 RPG while Enoch Cheeks has 13.4 PPG with a team-high 6.3 RPG to lead the Flyers on the glass so far this season. Malachi Smith has 10.4 PPG with a team-high 5.3 APG to lead the Flyers in assists and Javon Bennett’s also chipped in 10.7 PPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Dayton up to this point in the year. Zed Key has 9.3 PPG with 3.9 RPG and Amael L’Etang has 7.2 PPG with 4.4 RPG and Posh Alexander has added 6 PPG with 2.3 RPG and 2.3 APG as well on the year. As a team, Dayton is averaging 75.4 PPG on 46% shooting from the field, 35.7% from three and 74.7% from the foul line this season.

Why the Dayton Flyers will win

• Dayton has won each of its last six night games following an overtime loss.
• Florida Atlantic has lost each of its last three night games.

FAU Recap

The FAU Owls come into the NIT repping the AAC, finishing the year with an overall record of 18-15 on the year including a 10-8 mark in AAC conference play. As the 5-seed in the AAC tournament, the Owls took out Charlotte before falling to Tulane in the quarterfinals.

Owls Making Second NIT Appearance, First Since 2011

Kaleb Glenn leads FAU in scoring with 12.5 PPG along with 4.8 RPG while Tre Carroll has 12.1 PPG with 5.3 RPG as well on the year. Baba Miller has 11.2 PPG with a team-high 7 RPG to lead the Owls on the glass and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for FAU so far this year. Leland Walker has 9.3 PPG with 2.6 RPG and a team-high 4.4 APG to lead FAU in assists while Matas Vokietaitis has 9.9 PPG with 5.5 RPG. KyKy Tandy also has 8.5 PPG while Ken Evans Jr. has 6.4 PPG and 2 APG as well on the year. As a team, FAU is averaging 78.7 PPG on 46.2% shooting from the field, 35.1% from three and 69.8% from the foul line this season.

Why the Florida Atlantic Owls will win

• Florida Atlantic has won each of its last nine Wednesday night games at Abessinio Court at Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena.
• Dayton has lost three of its last four road games after coming off overtime.

Total Points Facts

• Thirty-three of Dayton’s last 36 night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
• Four of Florida Atlantic’s last five games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 155+ points.

Dayton vs. FAU Prediction

I’m on FAU here. I’ve had it with Dayton as the Flyers have just become the team that I expect things from every time they take the floor and I always end up being let down at the end of the day. FAU was at their best at home this season and I trust their offense at home more than I trust Dayton in general here. Give me the Owls at home in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: FAU -1