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Colorado vs Texas Tech Prediction 3/5/25 College Basketball Picks
Pick details
Texas Tech (22-7) vs Colorado (11-18)
March 5, 2025 at 08:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Texas Tech -17.5 — Over/Under: 142.5
The Colorado Buffaloes are visiting the Texas Tech Red Raiders on Wednesday, March 5th at the United Supermarkets Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Colorado Buffaloes vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction. We will examine:
The Texas Tech Red Raiders’ recent form and player performance
The Colorado Buffaloes’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas Tech Red Raiders
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Colorado Buffaloes
Recent betting trends in games played between the Colorado Buffaloes and Texas Tech Red Raiders
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Colorado Buffaloes vs Texas Tech Red Raiders game
Texas Tech Red Raiders Preview
The Texas Tech Red have a 22-7 record this season and are sitting in 2nd place in the Big 10. The Bulldogs are coming off a 78-72 win over Kansas. The Red Raiders are 16-13 against the spread, and 15-13-1 in over/under, while having a 14-3 home record.
Offensively, Texas Tech is averaging 80.6 points per game, which ranks 38th nationally. Defensively, they allow 66.8 points per game, which is 45th in the nation. The Red Raiders shoot 47.5% from the field (49th) and 37.4% from beyond the arc (34th). The Red Raiders shoot 77% from the free-throw line (36th) and are grabbing 36.7 rebounds per game (103rd).
JT Toppin leads Texas Tech in scoring this season, with an average of 17.3 points and a team-high 9 rebounds, while Darrion Williams adds 14.9 points and 5.3 rebounds per game.
Colorado Buffaloes Preview
The Colorado Buffaloes have an 11-18 record this season and are sitting in 16th place in the Big 12. Colorado is coming off a 56-65 loss to Kansas State. The Buffaloes are 12-17 against the spread, and 12-16-1 in over/under, while playing having a 0-9 road record.
Offensively, Colorado is averaging 69.7 points per game, which ranks 289th in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 71.7 points per game (176th). The Buffaloes shoot 44.5% from the field (198th) and 32.1% from beyond the arc (290th). The Buffaloes shoot 75% from the free throw line (74th) and are grabbing 35.1 rebounds per game (193rd).
Julian Hammond leads Colorado scoring this season, with an average of 12.4 points and a team-high 3 assists, while Andrej Jakimovksi adds 10 points and 4.6 rebounds per game.
Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win
- Texas Tech has won each of its last 10 night games at United Supermarkets Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Colorado has lost each of its last nine night games.
- Colorado has lost the first half in each of its last 10 night games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Colorado Buffaloes will win
- Texas Tech has lost three of its last four night games.
- Texas Tech has lost the first half in each of its last four night games against the Big 12 Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Colorado’s last six night games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents has produced a total of 144+ points.
- Six of Texas Tech’s last seven home games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 132 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Texas Tech ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (120.4).
- Texas Tech ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (99.8).
- Colorado ranks 356th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (19.0%).
Colorado Buffaloes vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction
Texas Tech is 5-2 in their 7 meetings against Colorado, but Colorado is 3-1 against the spread in their last 4 meetings. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings, and in their previous meeting back in 2011, Colorado won 71-68 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went under the point total.
In this Colorado Buffaloes vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction, Texas Tech is coming as a -17.5 home favorites. Texas Tech is rightfully favored, as they have a superior record this season, and have been extremely strong at home, while Colorado has been winless in their nine road games this season. Both teams have been playing good basketball lately, as the Raiders are 7-3 in their last 10 games, and the Buffaloes are 5-2 against the spread in their last 7. Both teams have been playing some lower-scoring games lately, as they are 11-4 to the under in their last 15 games combined, so I expect another low-scoring affair. Take the under.